The Toro Company (TTC) Fair Value 2026

TTC · Tools & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, The Toro Company (TTC) trades at $99.45, versus a $73.53 median fair value across its 10 active models — 26.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $111.74.

Key Facts

Ticker
TTC
Price
$99.45
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +12.4% upside with 72% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is The Toro Company (TTC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, The Toro Company (TTC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $73.53, 26.1% below the current price of $99.45. Estimates range from $33.18 to $165.81. TTC scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TTC’s -26.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Toro Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TTC?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($99.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $111.74 +12.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.18 -54.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $73.13 -26.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $33.18 -66.6%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 6 additional models including Markov DDM, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 10 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is TTC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $33.18 to $165.81

CirclFi's 10 active models place The Toro Company (TTC) between $33.18 and $165.81 per share, a spread of 180% of the median. The median of that range — $73.53 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TTC, against a current price of $99.45.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$33.18median $73.53$165.81
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$33.18
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$165.81
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TTC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TTC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The Toro Company (TTC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Toro Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $73.53, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $99.45. With 8 out of 10 models flagging downside (-26.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +66.7% (fair value: $165.81), while EROIC is the most conservative at -66.6% ($33.18). The spread between these extremes — +133.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TTC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for TTC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TTC is $73.53 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $111.74 on its own, implying +12.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TTC Rank in Tools & Accessories?

Among 8 Tools & Accessories stocks, TTC ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places TTC in the top tier.

The Toro Company operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TTC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TTC a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for The Toro Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, The Toro Company's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +133.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TTC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TTC's 10 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Toro Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Tools & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Tools & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.3SNASnap-on IncorporatedQOC 9.0RBCRBC Bearings IncorporatedQOC 8.7TKRThe Timken CompanyQOC 8.1SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.QOC 7.7HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.QOC 7.6EMLThe Eastern CompanyQOC 6.9

Read investment analysis: LECO · SNA · RBC · TKR · SWK · HLMN · EML

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TTC?

7 companies across all industries closest to TTC’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

RRXRegal Rexnord CorporationQOC 8.4NUTXNutex Health Inc.QOC 8.4ATROAstronics CorporationQOC 8.4MITKMitek Systems, Inc.QOC 8.3WILCG. Willi-Food International Ltd.QOC 8.4SMBKSmartFinancial, Inc.QOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RRX · NUTX · ATRO · MITK · WILC · SMBK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About The Toro Company’s Valuation?

What is The Toro Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The Toro Company (TTC)'s intrinsic value at $73.53 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $33.18 to $165.81. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $111.74 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TTC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $99.45, 2 of 10 active models suggest TTC may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $73.53, 26.1% below the current price of $99.45 — a consensus view that TTC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Toro Company's business model in Tools & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for TTC?

The Toro Company's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TTC?

CirclFi analyzes TTC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TTC?

Of the 10 models currently active on TTC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $165.81 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $33.18. CirclFi's published fair value for TTC is the median of that range, $73.53, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 180% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TTC a value trap in 2026?

The Toro Company's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, The Toro Company (TTC) has a median fair value of $73.53 — 26.1% below the current price of $99.45 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TTC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TTC valuation
  • Financial statements: The Toro Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000737758) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TTC as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 10 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on TTC.

Unlock All 10 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

6 models hidden for TTC Unlock All 10 — $39/mo