Toro Company (The) (TTC) Fair Value 2026

TTC · Lawn & Garden Tractors & Home Lawn & Gardens Equip ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Toro Company (The) (TTC) trades at $93.31, approximately 112% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $43.98. QOC: 8.6/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TTC
Price
$93.31
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +14.5% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($93.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$43.98 -52.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$64.39 -31.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$71.58 -23.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$106.88 +14.5%

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What Is Toro Company (The) (TTC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Toro Company (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $75.59, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $93.31. With an average implied return of -19.0% across a split 4–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +102.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +14.5% (fair value: $106.88), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -87.4% ($11.73). The spread between these extremes — +102.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TTC?

13 of 13 models are currently active for TTC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TTC's intrinsic value at $43.98, implying -52.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TTC Rank in Lawn & Garden Tractors & Home Lawn & Gardens Equip?

Among 1 Lawn & Garden Tractors & Home Lawn & Gardens Equip stocks, TTC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places TTC in the top tier.

Toro Company (The) operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TTC a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TTC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Toro Company (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Toro Company (The)'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +102.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TTC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TTC's 13 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Toro Company (The) Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Frequently Asked Questions About Toro Company (The)

What is Toro Company (The)'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Toro Company (The) (TTC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $43.98. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TTC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $93.31, 5 of 13 active models suggest TTC may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Toro Company (The)'s business model in Lawn & Garden Tractors & Home Lawn & Gardens Equip.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for TTC?

Toro Company (The)'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TTC?

CirclFi analyzes TTC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TTC a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for TTC at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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