Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) Fair Value 2026

APPS · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) trades at $10.49, versus a $9.48 median fair value across its 7 active models — 9.7% below the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APPS
Price
$10.49
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +191.0% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $9.48, within 9.7% of the current price of $10.49. Estimates range from $0.18 to $30.53. APPS scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. APPS’s -9.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -20.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Digital Turbine, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give APPS?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.21 -12.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $10.01 -4.5%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $30.53 +191.0%
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What Is APPS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $0.18 to $30.53

CirclFi's 7 active models place Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) between $0.18 and $30.53 per share, a spread of 320% of the median. The median of that range — $9.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for APPS, against a current price of $10.49.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$0.18median $9.48$30.53
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$0.18
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$30.53
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for APPS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on APPS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Digital Turbine, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $9.48. Trading at $10.49, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -9.7%), as 5 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $30.53 (+191.0%), versus EROIC at $0.18 (-98.3%). This +289.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About APPS?

7 of 13 models are currently active for APPS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for APPS is $9.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APPS Rank in Software - Application?

Among 261 Software - Application stocks, APPS ranks #137 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

The Software - Application sector introduces analytical considerations specific to digital enterprise businesses. For Digital Turbine, Inc., metrics like gross margin profile provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is APPS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APPS a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Digital Turbine, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Digital Turbine, Inc. scores 6.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +289.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APPS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APPS's 7 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Digital Turbine, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

FIGFigma, Inc.QOC 6.6CRNCCerence Inc.QOC 6.5ALKTAlkami Technology, Inc.QOC 6.6SCORcomScore, Inc.QOC 6.5INLXIntellinetics, Inc.QOC 6.7NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.QOC 6.5UPYYUPAY, Inc.QOC 4.9MANHManhattan Associates, Inc.QOC 9.6DAVEDave Inc.QOC 8.0ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.9PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: FIG · CRNC · ALKT · SCOR · INLX · NXTT · UPYY · MANH · DAVE · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to APPS?

7 companies across all industries closest to APPS’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

BTEBaytex Energy Corp.QOC 6.6AKBAAkebia Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6CURICuriosityStream Inc.QOC 6.6AXSMAxsome Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6MAGNMagnera CorporationQOC 6.6WYYWidePoint CorporationQOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BTE · AKBA · CURI · AXSM · MAGN · WYY · NVDA

Where Does APPS Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

APPS is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Digital Turbine, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Digital Turbine, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS)'s intrinsic value at $9.48 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.18 to $30.53. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APPS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.49, 1 of 7 active models suggest APPS may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $9.48, within 9.7% of the current price of $10.49 — a consensus view that APPS is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Digital Turbine, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for APPS?

Digital Turbine, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APPS?

CirclFi analyzes APPS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on APPS?

Of the 7 models currently active on APPS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $30.53 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $0.18. CirclFi's published fair value for APPS is the median of that range, $9.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 320% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is APPS a value trap in 2026?

Digital Turbine, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) has a median fair value of $9.48 — within 9.7% of the current price of $10.49 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/APPS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this APPS valuation
  • Financial statements: Digital Turbine, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000317788) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for APPS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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