Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. (AMOD) Fair Value 2026

AMOD · Patent Owners & Lessors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. (AMOD) trades at $4.12, approximately 18506% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.02. QOC: 4.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AMOD
Price
$4.12
Quality Score
4.3/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +215.4% upside with 43% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Valuation Matrix

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.02 -99.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.10 -97.5%
Regime Cross-Sectional
Medium Conviction
$12.99 +215.4%

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What Is Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. (AMOD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.43, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $4.12. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-41.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +215.4% (fair value: $12.99), while EROIC is the most conservative at -99.7% ($0.01). The spread between these extremes — +315.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AMOD?

6 of 13 models are currently active for AMOD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMOD's intrinsic value at $0.02, implying -99.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AMOD Rank in Patent Owners & Lessors?

Among 10 Patent Owners & Lessors stocks, AMOD ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AMOD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMOD a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. is rated at 4.3/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +315.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AMOD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AMOD's 6 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.

What is Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc. (AMOD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.02. The Quality of Company score is 4.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AMOD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.12, 1 of 6 active models suggest AMOD may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Patent Owners & Lessors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.3 mean for AMOD?

Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 4.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AMOD?

CirclFi analyzes AMOD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AMOD a value trap in 2026?

Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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