Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) Fair Value 2026

CNK · Entertainment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (16/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) trades at $35.99, versus a $19.78 median fair value across its 5 active models — 45.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 16/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CNK
Price
$35.99
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
16/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $19.78, 45.1% below the current price of $35.99. Estimates range from $2.35 to $74.32. CNK scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 16/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CNK’s -45.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Entertainment sector median is -28.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cinemark Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CNK?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($35.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $19.78 -45.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $11.25 -68.8%
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What Is CNK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $2.35 to $74.32

CirclFi's 5 active models place Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) between $2.35 and $74.32 per share, a spread of 364% of the median. The median of that range — $19.78 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CNK, against a current price of $35.99.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$2.35median $19.78$74.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$2.35
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$74.32
Model agreement1 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CNK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CNK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.78. Trading at its current price of $35.99, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 4 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -45.1%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +106.5% (fair value: $74.32), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -93.5% ($2.35). The spread between these extremes — +199.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CNK?

5 of 13 models are currently active for CNK. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CNK is $19.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CNK Rank in Entertainment?

Among 53 Entertainment stocks, CNK ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Entertainment Stocks →

The Entertainment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to telecom operator businesses. For Cinemark Holdings, Inc., metrics like EBITDA margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CNK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CNK a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Cinemark Holdings, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +199.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CNK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CNK's 5 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cinemark Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Entertainment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Entertainment stocks with 13-model coverage

HUYAHUYA Inc.QOC 6.5IQiQIYI, Inc.QOC 6.3PLAYDave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.QOC 6.5MANUManchesterQOC 6.1WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.QOC 6.6TOONKartoon Studios Inc.QOC 6.1AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3ZNBZeta Network GroupQOC 1.7WMGWarner Music Group Corp.QOC 7.9NFLXNetflix, Inc.QOC 9.8IMAXIMAX CorporationQOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: HUYA · IQ · PLAY · MANU · WBD · TOON · AMC · ZNB · WMG · NFLX · IMAX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CNK?

7 companies across all industries closest to CNK’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

RAREUltragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.QOC 6.4DLTHDuluth Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4PNNTPennantPark Investment CorporationQOC 6.4MPMP Materials Corp.QOC 6.4RDGLVivos Inc.QOC 6.4ONITOnity Group Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RARE · DLTH · PNNT · MP · RDGL · ONIT · NVDA

Where Does CNK Sit in CirclFi's Entertainment Rankings?

CNK is ranked against every other Entertainment stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Entertainment stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cinemark Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK)'s intrinsic value at $19.78 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.35 to $74.32. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CNK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $35.99, 1 of 5 active models suggest CNK may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $19.78, 45.1% below the current price of $35.99 — a consensus view that CNK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Entertainment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for CNK?

Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CNK?

CirclFi analyzes CNK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CNK?

Of the 5 models currently active on CNK, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $74.32 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $2.35. CirclFi's published fair value for CNK is the median of that range, $19.78, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 364% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CNK a value trap in 2026?

Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 16/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) has a median fair value of $19.78 — 45.1% below the current price of $35.99 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CNK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CNK valuation
  • Financial statements: Cinemark Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001385280) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CNK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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