iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) Fair Value 2026

IQ · Entertainment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (41/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) trades at $0.92, versus a $2.13 median fair value across its 5 active models — 130.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 41/100 (WARN). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.95.

Key Facts

Ticker
IQ
Price
$0.92
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
41/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +432.3% upside with 6% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 41 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $2.13, 130.7% above the current price of $0.92. Estimates range from $0.92 to $4.96. IQ scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 41/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. IQ’s +130.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Entertainment sector median is -27.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy iQIYI, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give IQ?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.92)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.95 +110.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.92 +432.3%
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What Is IQ's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.92 to $4.96

CirclFi's 5 active models place iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) between $0.92 and $4.96 per share, a spread of 190% of the median. The median of that range — $2.13 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for IQ, against a current price of $0.92.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · FTNN
$0.92median $2.13$4.96
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$0.92
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$4.96
Model agreement4 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for IQ. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on IQ, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, iQIYI, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $2.13. At a current market price of $0.92, 4 of 5 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +130.7%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +436.9% (fair value: $4.96), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -0.7% ($0.92). The spread between these extremes — +437.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About IQ?

5 of 13 models are currently active for IQ. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for IQ is $2.13 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.95 on its own, implying +110.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IQ Rank in Entertainment?

Among 53 Entertainment stocks, IQ ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Entertainment Stocks →

iQIYI, Inc.'s positioning within the Entertainment segment means that capital intensity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including broadband subscriber growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is IQ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IQ a score of 41/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for iQIYI, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, iQIYI, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +437.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IQ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IQ's 5 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy iQIYI, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Entertainment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Entertainment stocks with 13-model coverage

CNKCinemark Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.4MANUManchesterQOC 6.1HUYAHUYA Inc.QOC 6.5TOONKartoon Studios Inc.QOC 6.1PLAYDave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.QOC 6.5ANGXAngel Studios, Inc.QOC 5.9ANGHAnghami Inc.QOC 5.3NFLXNetflix, Inc.QOC 9.8VSNTVersant Media Group, Inc.QOC 7.7IMAXIMAX CorporationQOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: CNK · MANU · HUYA · TOON · PLAY · ANGX · ANGH · NFLX · VSNT · IMAX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to IQ?

7 companies across all industries closest to IQ’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationQOC 6.3ORMPOramed Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 6.3ALTGAlta Equipment Group Inc.QOC 6.3MAYSJ.W. Mays, Inc.QOC 6.3BFRGBullfrog AI Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.3ALITAlight, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BLCO · ORMP · ALTG · MAYS · BFRG · ALIT · NVDA

Where Does IQ Sit in CirclFi's Entertainment Rankings?

IQ is ranked against every other Entertainment stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Entertainment stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About iQIYI, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is iQIYI, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts iQIYI, Inc. (IQ)'s intrinsic value at $2.13 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.92 to $4.96. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.95 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IQ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.92, 4 of 5 active models suggest IQ may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $2.13, 130.7% above the current price of $0.92 — a consensus view that IQ is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits iQIYI, Inc.'s business model in Entertainment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for IQ?

iQIYI, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IQ?

CirclFi analyzes IQ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on IQ?

Of the 5 models currently active on IQ, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $4.96 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $0.92. CirclFi's published fair value for IQ is the median of that range, $2.13, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 190% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is IQ a value trap in 2026?

iQIYI, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 41/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, iQIYI, Inc. (IQ) has a median fair value of $2.13 — 130.7% above the current price of $0.92 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IQ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this IQ valuation
  • Financial statements: iQIYI, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001722608) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for IQ as of ; valuations recomputed .

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