Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) Fair Value 2026

MSC · Resorts & Casinos ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) trades at $1.77, versus a $6.70 median fair value across its 3 active models — 278.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MSC
Price
$1.77
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +438.3% upside with 31% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $6.70, 278.4% above the current price of $1.77. Estimates range from $6.13 to $9.53. MSC scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. MSC’s +278.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Resorts & Casinos sector median is +5.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Studio City International Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MSC?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Hybrid · Medium Conviction
 $6.70 +278.4%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $9.53 +438.3%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $6.13 +246.3%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is MSC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $6.13 to $9.53

CirclFi's 3 active models place Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) between $6.13 and $9.53 per share, a spread of 51% of the median. The median of that range — $6.70 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MSC, against a current price of $1.77.

Low · FTNNHigh · PWERM
$6.13median $6.70$9.53
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFTNN Topology$6.13
Most bullish modelPWERM$9.53
Model agreement3 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MSC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Studio City International Holdings Limited is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.77. Based on our 13-model framework, Studio City International Holdings Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $6.70 — representing +278.4% implied upside — with 3 out of 3 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $9.53 (+438.3%), versus FTNN at $6.13 (+246.3%). This +192.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MSC?

3 of 13 models are currently active for MSC. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for MSC is $6.70 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MSC Rank in Resorts & Casinos?

Among 18 Resorts & Casinos stocks, MSC ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

Studio City International Holdings Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MSC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MSC a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Studio City International Holdings Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Studio City International Holdings Limited is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +192.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MSC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MSC's 3 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Studio City International Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Resorts & Casinos Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Resorts & Casinos stocks with 13-model coverage

CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.QOC 6.9FLLFull House Resorts, Inc.QOC 6.3CPHCCanterbury Park Holding CorporationQOC 7.4CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.QOC 6.3HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.QOC 7.4VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide CorporationQOC 6.2PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.QOC 5.6LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.QOC 8.6WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedQOC 7.7TBTCTable Trac, Inc.QOC 9.5MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: CZR · FLL · CPHC · CNTY · HGV · VAC · PENN · LVS · WYNN · TBTC · MCRI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MSC?

7 companies across all industries closest to MSC’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

WTIW&T Offshore, Inc.QOC 6.4FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4ALOYREalloys Inc.QOC 6.4LAWRRobot Consulting Co., Ltd.QOC 6.4WSCWillScot Holdings CorporationQOC 6.4MGLDThe Marygold Companies, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WTI · FCEL · ALOY · LAWR · WSC · MGLD · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Studio City International Holdings Limited’s Valuation?

What is Studio City International Holdings Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC)'s intrinsic value at $6.70 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.13 to $9.53. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MSC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.77, 3 of 3 active models suggest MSC may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $6.70, 278.4% above the current price of $1.77 — a consensus view that MSC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Studio City International Holdings Limited's business model in Resorts & Casinos.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for MSC?

Studio City International Holdings Limited's QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MSC?

CirclFi analyzes MSC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MSC?

Of the 3 models currently active on MSC, PWERM is the most bullish at $9.53 per share, and FTNN Topology is the most bearish at $6.13. CirclFi's published fair value for MSC is the median of that range, $6.70, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 51% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MSC a value trap in 2026?

Studio City International Holdings Limited's Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Studio City International Holdings Limited (MSC) has a median fair value of $6.70 — 278.4% above the current price of $1.77 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MSC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MSC valuation

Market data for MSC as of ; valuations recomputed .