What Is PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on PENN Entertainment, Inc. at its current price of $21.12. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $17.81 (-15.7% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $40.24 (+90.5%), versus First Chicago at $4.02 (-81.0%). This +171.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About PENN?
11 of 13 models are currently active for PENN. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PENN's intrinsic value at $8.06, implying -61.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does PENN Rank in Hotels & Motels?
Among 27 Hotels & Motels stocks, PENN ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.
PENN Entertainment, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is PENN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PENN a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for PENN Entertainment, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, PENN Entertainment, Inc. is rated at 5.1/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +171.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every PENN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across PENN's 11 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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