What Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co (VAC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co's intrinsic value is estimated at $73.21. Trading at its current price of $99.52, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -26.4%. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $132.33 (+33.0%), versus EPV at $7.87 (-92.1%). This +125.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About VAC?
12 of 13 models are currently active for VAC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates VAC's intrinsic value at $66.73, implying -33.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does VAC Rank in Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)?
Among 18 Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) stocks, VAC ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.
The Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co, metrics like same-property NOI growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is VAC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VAC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co earns a quality score of 6.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +125.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every VAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across VAC's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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