Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) Fair Value 2026

COLD · REIT - Industrial ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) trades at $15.03, versus a $18.15 median fair value across its 3 active models — 20.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
COLD
Price
$15.03
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +83.5% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $18.15, 20.7% above the current price of $15.03. Estimates range from $9.45 to $27.58. COLD scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. COLD’s +20.7% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give COLD?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.45 -37.1%
Hybrid · Medium Conviction
 $18.15 +20.7%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $27.58 +83.5%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is COLD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $9.45 to $27.58

CirclFi's 3 active models place Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) between $9.45 and $27.58 per share, a spread of 100% of the median. The median of that range — $18.15 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for COLD, against a current price of $15.03.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · FTNN
$9.45median $18.15$27.58
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$9.45
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$27.58
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on COLD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Americold Realty Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $18.15, suggesting a +20.7% median upside from the current price of $15.03. While 2 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 1 model flags potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $27.58 (+83.5%), versus Markov DDM at $9.45 (-37.1%). This +120.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About COLD?

3 of 13 models are currently active for COLD. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for COLD is $18.15 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does COLD Rank in REIT - Industrial?

Among 14 REIT - Industrial stocks, COLD ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

Americold Realty Trust, Inc.'s positioning within the REIT - Industrial segment means that funds from operations (FFO) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including development pipeline delivery — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is COLD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns COLD a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Americold Realty Trust, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every COLD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across COLD's 3 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Industrial Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Industrial stocks with 13-model coverage

SMASmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.QOC 6.8LINELineage, Inc.QOC 5.4LXPLXP Industrial TrustQOC 7.4ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties TrustQOC 4.4EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.QOC 7.8EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.QOC 8.6PSAPublic StorageQOC 8.2FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.8CUBECubeSmartQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: SMA · LINE · LXP · ILPT · EXR · EGP · PSA · FR · CUBE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to COLD?

7 companies across all industries closest to COLD’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

LNZALanzaTech Global, Inc.QOC 6.2IHRTiHeartMedia, Inc.QOC 6.2DXLGDestination XL Group, Inc.QOC 6.2WHFWhiteHorse Finance, Inc.QOC 6.2SARSaratoga Investment Corp.QOC 6.2RVPRetractable Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LNZA · IHRT · DXLG · WHF · SAR · RVP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Americold Realty Trust, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Americold Realty Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD)'s intrinsic value at $18.15 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.45 to $27.58. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is COLD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.03, 2 of 3 active models suggest COLD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $18.15, 20.7% above the current price of $15.03 — a consensus view that COLD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Americold Realty Trust, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Industrial.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for COLD?

Americold Realty Trust, Inc.'s QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on COLD?

CirclFi analyzes COLD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on COLD?

Of the 3 models currently active on COLD, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $27.58 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $9.45. CirclFi's published fair value for COLD is the median of that range, $18.15, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 100% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is COLD a value trap in 2026?

Americold Realty Trust, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (COLD) has a median fair value of $18.15 — 20.7% above the current price of $15.03 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/COLD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this COLD valuation
  • Financial statements: Americold Realty Trust, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001455863) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for COLD as of ; valuations recomputed .