Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) Fair Value 2026

ILPT · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) trades at $8.87. QOC: 4.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ILPT
Price
$8.87
Quality Score
4.0/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +58.4% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $13.50, 52.2% above the current price of $8.87. Estimates range from $0.68 to $28.93. ILPT scores 4.0/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Industrial Logistics Properties Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.76 -35.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$14.05 +58.4%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$1.03 -88.4%
ML-RIV
High Conviction
$0.68 -92.3%

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What Is Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Industrial Logistics Properties's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $12.26. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $8.87 (implied upside of +38.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 9 bullish models. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +226.1% (fair value: $28.93), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -92.3% ($0.68). The spread between these extremes — +318.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ILPT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ILPT. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ILPT Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 182 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, ILPT ranks #177 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

As a REIT, Industrial Logistics Properties operates in a sector where occupancy rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ILPT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ILPT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ILPT a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Industrial Logistics Properties. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Industrial Logistics Properties's fundamental quality profile registers 4.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +318.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ILPT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ILPT's 9 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Industrial Logistics Properties Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Industrial Logistics Properties

What is Industrial Logistics Properties's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ILPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.87, 5 of 9 active models suggest ILPT may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $13.50, 52.2% above the current price of $8.87 — a consensus view that ILPT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Industrial Logistics Properties's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.0 mean for ILPT?

Industrial Logistics Properties's QOC of 4.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ILPT?

CirclFi analyzes ILPT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ILPT a value trap in 2026?

Industrial Logistics Properties's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) has a median fair value of $13.50 — 52.2% above the current price of $8.87 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ILPT/ · Methodology

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