LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) Fair Value 2026

LXP · REIT - Industrial ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) trades at $60.69, versus a $33.48 median fair value across its 8 active models — 44.8% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LXP
Price
$60.69
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $33.48, 44.8% below the current price of $60.69. Estimates range from $10.77 to $73.71. LXP scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. LXP’s -44.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Industrial sector median is -41.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy LXP Industrial Trust Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LXP?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($60.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $30.56 -49.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $36.40 -40.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.83 -78.9%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $10.77 -82.3%
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What Is LXP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $10.77 to $73.71

CirclFi's 8 active models place LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) between $10.77 and $73.71 per share, a spread of 188% of the median. The median of that range — $33.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LXP, against a current price of $60.69.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$10.77median $33.48$73.71
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$10.77
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$73.71
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LXP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LXP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, LXP Industrial Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at $33.48. Trading at its current price of $60.69, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -44.8%. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +21.5% (fair value: $73.71), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -82.3% ($10.77). The spread between these extremes — +103.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About LXP?

8 of 13 models are currently active for LXP. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LXP is $33.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LXP Rank in REIT - Industrial?

Among 15 REIT - Industrial stocks, LXP ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

The REIT - Industrial sector introduces analytical considerations specific to REIT businesses. For LXP Industrial Trust, metrics like capitalization rate (cap rate) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is LXP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LXP a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for LXP Industrial Trust. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, LXP Industrial Trust earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LXP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LXP's 8 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy LXP Industrial Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Industrial Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related REIT - Industrial stocks with 13-model coverage

STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc.QOC 7.5SMASmartStop Self Storage REIT, Inc.QOC 6.8EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.QOC 7.8COLDAmericold Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 6.2FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.8LINELineage, Inc.QOC 5.4TRNOTerreno Realty CorporationQOC 8.6IIPRInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc.QOC 7.8EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.QOC 8.6CUBECubeSmartQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: STAG · SMA · EXR · COLD · FR · LINE · TRNO · IIPR · EGP · CUBE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LXP?

7 companies across all industries closest to LXP’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

INBPIntegrated BioPharma, Inc.QOC 7.4GTLBGitLab Inc.QOC 7.4CACCamden National CorporationQOC 7.4SHGShinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd.QOC 7.4KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4PIImpinj, Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INBP · GTLB · CAC · SHG · KOP · PI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About LXP Industrial Trust’s Valuation?

What is LXP Industrial Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts LXP Industrial Trust (LXP)'s intrinsic value at $33.48 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $10.77 to $73.71. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LXP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $60.69, 2 of 8 active models suggest LXP may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $33.48, 44.8% below the current price of $60.69 — a consensus view that LXP is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits LXP Industrial Trust's business model in REIT - Industrial.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for LXP?

LXP Industrial Trust's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LXP?

CirclFi analyzes LXP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LXP?

Of the 8 models currently active on LXP, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $73.71 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $10.77. CirclFi's published fair value for LXP is the median of that range, $33.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 188% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LXP a value trap in 2026?

LXP Industrial Trust's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) has a median fair value of $33.48 — 44.8% below the current price of $60.69 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LXP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LXP valuation
  • Financial statements: LXP Industrial Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000910108) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LXP as of ; valuations recomputed .

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