What Is Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stag Industrial, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $30.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $39.34. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-22.7% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $163.22 (+314.9%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $2.41 (-93.9%). This +408.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Stag Industrial, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About STAG?
13 of 13 models are currently active for STAG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates STAG's intrinsic value at $22.45, implying -42.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does STAG Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?
Among 190 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, STAG ranks #91 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →
As a real estate sector, Stag Industrial, Inc. operates in a sector where weighted average lease term (WALT) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating STAG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is STAG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STAG a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Stag Industrial, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Stag Industrial, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +408.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every STAG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across STAG's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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