Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) Fair Value 2026

REXR · REIT - Industrial ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) trades at $37.13, versus a $21.58 median fair value across its 7 active models — 41.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
REXR
Price
$37.13
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $21.58, 41.9% below the current price of $37.13. Estimates range from $13.66 to $37.85. REXR scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. REXR’s -41.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Industrial sector median is -41.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give REXR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($37.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $21.58 -41.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $21.14 -43.1%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $13.66 -63.2%
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What Is REXR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $13.66 to $37.85

CirclFi's 7 active models place Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) between $13.66 and $37.85 per share, a spread of 112% of the median. The median of that range — $21.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for REXR, against a current price of $37.13.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$13.66median $21.58$37.85
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$13.66
Most bullish modelPWERM$37.85
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for REXR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on REXR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $21.58, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $37.13. With 6 out of 7 models flagging downside (-41.9% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $37.85 (+1.9%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $13.66 (-63.2%). This +65.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About REXR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for REXR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for REXR is $21.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does REXR Rank in REIT - Industrial?

Among 15 REIT - Industrial stocks, REXR ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places REXR in the top tier.

Within the REIT - Industrial space, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. competes in an environment where net asset value (NAV) premium/discount often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is REXR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns REXR a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +65.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every REXR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across REXR's 7 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Industrial Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Industrial stocks with 13-model coverage

PSAPublic StorageQOC 8.2IIPRInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc.QOC 7.8PLDPrologis, Inc.QOC 8.2FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.8TRNOTerreno Realty CorporationQOC 8.6EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.QOC 7.8COLDAmericold Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 6.2CUBECubeSmartQOC 8.6EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: PSA · IIPR · PLD · FR · TRNO · EXR · COLD · CUBE · EGP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to REXR?

7 companies across all industries closest to REXR’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

UNHUnitedHealth Group IncorporatedQOC 8.0ITICInvestors Title CompanyQOC 8.0WEXWEX Inc.QOC 8.0HNIHNI CorporationQOC 8.0AXRAMREP CorporationQOC 8.0UBSIUnited Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: UNH · ITIC · WEX · HNI · AXR · UBSI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR)'s intrinsic value at $21.58 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $13.66 to $37.85. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is REXR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $37.13, 1 of 7 active models suggest REXR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $21.58, 41.9% below the current price of $37.13 — a consensus view that REXR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Industrial.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for REXR?

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on REXR?

CirclFi analyzes REXR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on REXR?

Of the 7 models currently active on REXR, PWERM is the most bullish at $37.85 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $13.66. CirclFi's published fair value for REXR is the median of that range, $21.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 112% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is REXR a value trap in 2026?

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) has a median fair value of $21.58 — 41.9% below the current price of $37.13 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/REXR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this REXR valuation
  • Financial statements: Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001571283) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for REXR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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