What Is Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $31.96. Trading at its current price of $54.92, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -41.8%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $55.82 (+1.6%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $8.22 (-85.0%). This +86.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About FND?
13 of 13 models are currently active for FND. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FND's intrinsic value at $31.72, implying -42.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FND Rank in Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers?
Among 5 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers stocks, FND ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places FND in the top tier.
The Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., metrics like brand equity index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is FND a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FND a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.4/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +86.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FND valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FND's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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