Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) Fair Value 2026

ULBI · Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) trades at $5.66, approximately 15% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.91. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ULBI
Price
$5.66
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +192.4% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$4.91 -13.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$8.10 +43.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$16.55 +192.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$5.09 -10.1%

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What Is Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ultralife Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $6.84, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $5.66. While the average implied return is +20.8%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +279.8% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, CUCE, places fair value at $16.55 (+192.4%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $0.71 (-87.4%). This +279.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ultralife Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ULBI?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ULBI. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ULBI's intrinsic value at $4.91, implying -13.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ULBI Rank in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies?

Among 40 Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks, ULBI ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks →

The Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Ultralife Corporation, metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ULBI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ULBI a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Ultralife Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ultralife Corporation scores 7.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +279.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ULBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ULBI's 11 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ultralife Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ENS · ATKR · CBAT · FLNC · BYRN

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Frequently Asked Questions About Ultralife Corporation

What is Ultralife Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.91. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ULBI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.66, 6 of 11 active models suggest ULBI may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ultralife Corporation's business model in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for ULBI?

Ultralife Corporation's QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ULBI?

CirclFi analyzes ULBI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ULBI a value trap in 2026?

Ultralife Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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