Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) Fair Value 2026

ULBI · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) trades at $6.54, versus a $4.98 median fair value across its 9 active models — 23.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.68.

Key Facts

Ticker
ULBI
Price
$6.54
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $4.98, 23.9% below the current price of $6.54. Estimates range from $0.29 to $23.32. ULBI scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. ULBI’s -23.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -30.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ultralife Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ULBI?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.68 -89.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.48 -92.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.98 -23.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.29 -95.5%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including Dynamic NAV, PWERM, and more.

$2 / day

Billed monthly ($60/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is ULBI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.29 to $23.32

CirclFi's 9 active models place Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) between $0.29 and $23.32 per share, a spread of 462% of the median. The median of that range — $4.98 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ULBI, against a current price of $6.54.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.29median $4.98$23.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.29
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$23.32
Model agreement3 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ULBI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ULBI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ultralife Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.98. Trading at $6.54, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -23.9%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $23.32 (+256.5%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.29 (-95.5%). This +352.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ultralife Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ULBI?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ULBI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ULBI is $4.98 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.68 on its own, implying -89.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ULBI Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 58 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, ULBI ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

The Electrical Equipment & Parts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to utility businesses. For Ultralife Corporation, metrics like rate base growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ULBI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ULBI a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Ultralife Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ultralife Corporation scores 7.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +352.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ULBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ULBI's 9 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ultralife Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1CBATCBAK Energy Technology LimitedQOC 6.9ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 7.4EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.6RFILRF Industries, Ltd.QOC 7.5PPSIPioneer Power Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.6UTKNUniversal Token, Inc.QOC 5.4DFLIDragonfly Energy Holdings Corp.QOC 4.5VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6

Read investment analysis: ENR · CBAT · ATKR · EOSE · RFIL · PPSI · UTKN · DFLI · VRT · POWL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ULBI?

7 companies across all industries closest to ULBI’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

VFCV.F. CorporationQOC 7.0BZUNBaozun Inc.QOC 7.0VMRKVivmark ResidentialQOC 7.0MRAMEverspin Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.0BRIABrilliA IncQOC 7.0WHRWhirlpool CorporationQOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VFC · BZUN · VMRK · MRAM · BRIA · WHR · NVDA

Where Does ULBI Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

ULBI is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ultralife Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Ultralife Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ultralife Corporation (ULBI)'s intrinsic value at $4.98 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.29 to $23.32. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.68 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ULBI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.54, 3 of 9 active models suggest ULBI may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $4.98, 23.9% below the current price of $6.54 — a consensus view that ULBI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ultralife Corporation's business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for ULBI?

Ultralife Corporation's QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ULBI?

CirclFi analyzes ULBI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ULBI?

Of the 9 models currently active on ULBI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $23.32 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.29. CirclFi's published fair value for ULBI is the median of that range, $4.98, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 462% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ULBI a value trap in 2026?

Ultralife Corporation's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Ultralife Corporation (ULBI) has a median fair value of $4.98 — 23.9% below the current price of $6.54 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ULBI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ULBI valuation
  • Financial statements: Ultralife Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000875657) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ULBI as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on ULBI.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $60/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for ULBI Unlock All 9 — $60/mo