Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Fair Value 2026

ATKR · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Atkore Inc. (ATKR) trades at $93.66, versus a $89.44 median fair value across its 11 active models — 4.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $116.98.

Key Facts

Ticker
ATKR
Price
$93.66
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +38.6% upside with 75% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Atkore Inc. (ATKR) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $89.44, within 4.5% of the current price of $93.66. Estimates range from $9.68 to $163.49. ATKR scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 23/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ATKR’s -4.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -34.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Atkore Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ATKR?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($93.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
$116.98 +24.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
$129.81 +38.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
$89.44 -4.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
$67.74 -27.7%
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What Is ATKR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $9.68 to $163.49

CirclFi's 11 active models place Atkore Inc. (ATKR) between $9.68 and $163.49 per share, a spread of 172% of the median. The median of that range — $89.44 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ATKR, against a current price of $93.66.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$9.68median $89.44$163.49
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$9.68
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$163.49
Model agreement5 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ATKR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ATKR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Atkore Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $89.44, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $93.66. While the median implied return is -4.5%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +164.2% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $163.49 (+74.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $9.68 (-89.7%). This +164.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Atkore Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ATKR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ATKR. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ATKR is $89.44 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $116.98 on its own, implying +24.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ATKR Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 57 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, ATKR ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

The Electrical Equipment & Parts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to utility businesses. For Atkore Inc., metrics like regulatory lag provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ATKR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ATKR a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Atkore Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Atkore Inc. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +164.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ATKR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ATKR's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Atkore Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BE · RFIL · AEIS · ENR · PLPC · ULBI · SKYX · LTBR · XCH · POWL · VRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ATKR?

7 companies across all industries closest to ATKR’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

Read investment analysis: KNTK · JBLU · TU · KOP · MRBK · INBP · NVDA

Where Does ATKR Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

ATKR is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Atkore Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Atkore Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Atkore Inc. (ATKR)'s intrinsic value at $89.44 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.68 to $163.49. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $116.98 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ATKR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $93.66, 5 of 11 active models suggest ATKR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $89.44, within 4.5% of the current price of $93.66 — a consensus view that ATKR is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Atkore Inc.'s business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for ATKR?

Atkore Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ATKR?

CirclFi analyzes ATKR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ATKR?

Of the 11 models currently active on ATKR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $163.49 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $9.68. CirclFi's published fair value for ATKR is the median of that range, $89.44, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 172% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ATKR a value trap in 2026?

Atkore Inc.'s Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Atkore Inc. (ATKR) has a median fair value of $89.44 — within 4.5% of the current price of $93.66 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ATKR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ATKR valuation
  • Financial statements: Atkore Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001666138) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ATKR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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