SiTime Corporation (SITM) Fair Value 2026

SITM · Semiconductors & Related Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, SiTime Corporation (SITM) trades at $623.83, approximately 2629% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.86. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SITM
Price
$623.83
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($623.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$22.86 -96.3%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$35.55 -94.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$49.13 -92.1%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$12.03 -98.1%

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What Is SiTime Corporation (SITM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SiTime Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $119.29, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $623.83. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-80.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $663.83 (+6.4%), versus ML-RIV at $6.12 (-99.0%). This +105.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SITM?

13 of 13 models are currently active for SITM. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SITM's intrinsic value at $22.86, implying -96.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SITM Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?

Among 95 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, SITM ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →

As a semiconductor company, SiTime Corporation operates in a sector where R&D-to-revenue ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SITM should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SITM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SITM a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for SiTime Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SiTime Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SITM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SITM's 13 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SiTime Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMAT · AVGO · CRDO · CRUS · MPWR

See all Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SiTime Corporation

What is SiTime Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SiTime Corporation (SITM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.86. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SITM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $623.83, 1 of 13 active models suggest SITM may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SiTime Corporation's business model in Semiconductors & Related Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for SITM?

SiTime Corporation's QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SITM?

CirclFi analyzes SITM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SITM a value trap in 2026?

SiTime Corporation's Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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