Rogers Corporation (ROG) Fair Value 2026

ROG · Electronic Components ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Rogers Corporation (ROG) trades at $125.52, versus a $50.33 median fair value across its 10 active models — 59.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $46.31.

Key Facts

Ticker
ROG
Price
$125.52
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Rogers Corporation (ROG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Rogers Corporation (ROG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $50.33, 59.9% below the current price of $125.52. Estimates range from $17.52 to $195.80. ROG scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ROG’s -59.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electronic Components sector median is -58.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rogers Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ROG?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($125.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $46.31 -63.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $54.34 -56.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $54.83 -56.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $27.52 -78.1%
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What Is ROG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $17.52 to $195.80

CirclFi's 10 active models place Rogers Corporation (ROG) between $17.52 and $195.80 per share, a spread of 354% of the median. The median of that range — $50.33 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ROG, against a current price of $125.52.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Regime Cross
$17.52median $50.33$195.80
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$17.52
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$195.80
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ROG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ROG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Rogers Corporation (ROG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rogers Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $50.33. Trading at its current price of $125.52, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -59.9%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +56.0% (fair value: $195.80), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -86.0% ($17.52). The spread between these extremes — +142.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ROG?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ROG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ROG is $50.33 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $46.31 on its own, implying -63.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ROG Rank in Electronic Components?

Among 46 Electronic Components stocks, ROG ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Rogers Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ROG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ROG a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Rogers Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rogers Corporation scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +142.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ROG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ROG's 10 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rogers Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Electronic Components stocks with 13-model coverage

RELLRichardson Electronics, Ltd.QOC 7.5NEONNeonode Inc.QOC 7.2DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6CPSHCPS Technologies CorporationQOC 7.2LFUSLittelfuse, Inc.QOC 7.6MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.QOC 7.0KULRKULR Technology Group, Inc.QOC 6.3APHAmphenol CorporationQOC 9.3LYTSLSI Industries Inc.QOC 8.5CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: RELL · NEON · DSWL · CPSH · LFUS · MEI · KULR · APH · LYTS · CLS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ROG?

7 companies across all industries closest to ROG’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

SPROSpero Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 7.4IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.QOC 7.4NSLRNeostellar Capital Corp.QOC 7.4DKNGDraftKings Inc.QOC 7.4TACTTransAct Technologies IncorporatedQOC 7.4FULH.B. Fuller CompanyQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SPRO · IPI · NSLR · DKNG · TACT · FUL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rogers Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Rogers Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rogers Corporation (ROG)'s intrinsic value at $50.33 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $17.52 to $195.80. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $46.31 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ROG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $125.52, 2 of 10 active models suggest ROG may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $50.33, 59.9% below the current price of $125.52 — a consensus view that ROG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rogers Corporation's business model in Electronic Components.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for ROG?

Rogers Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ROG?

CirclFi analyzes ROG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ROG?

Of the 10 models currently active on ROG, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $195.80 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $17.52. CirclFi's published fair value for ROG is the median of that range, $50.33, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 354% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ROG a value trap in 2026?

Rogers Corporation's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Rogers Corporation (ROG) has a median fair value of $50.33 — 59.9% below the current price of $125.52 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ROG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ROG valuation
  • Financial statements: Rogers Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000084748) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ROG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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