Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) Fair Value 2026

MSGM · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (43/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) trades at $3.90, versus a $5.11 median fair value across its 9 active models — 31.1% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 43/100 (WARN). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.66.

Key Facts

Ticker
MSGM
Price
$3.90
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
43/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +115.0% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 43 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $5.11, 31.1% above the current price of $3.90. Estimates range from $1.66 to $8.38. MSGM scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 43/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MSGM’s +31.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Motorsport Games Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MSGM?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.66 -57.3%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $5.11 +31.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $8.38 +115.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.77 -29.0%
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What Is MSGM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $1.66 to $8.38

CirclFi's 9 active models place Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) between $1.66 and $8.38 per share, a spread of 131% of the median. The median of that range — $5.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MSGM, against a current price of $3.90.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · First Chicago
$1.66median $5.11$8.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$1.66
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$8.38
Model agreement7 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MSGM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MSGM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Motorsport Games Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $3.90. Based on our 13-model framework, Motorsport Games Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.11 — representing +31.1% implied upside — with 7 out of 9 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $8.38 (+115.0%), versus Bayesian DCF at $1.66 (-57.3%). This +172.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MSGM?

9 of 13 models are currently active for MSGM. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MSGM is $5.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.66 on its own, implying -57.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MSGM Rank in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia?

Among 22 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, MSGM ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Motorsport Games Inc.'s positioning within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia segment means that EBITDA margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including 5G network deployment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is MSGM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MSGM a score of 43/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Motorsport Games Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Motorsport Games Inc. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +172.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MSGM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MSGM's 9 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Motorsport Games Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Gaming & Multimedia Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks with 13-model coverage

TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.QOC 7.7MYPSPLAYSTUDIOS, Inc.QOC 7.2GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.QOC 8.4RBLXRoblox CorporationQOC 7.1NTESNetEase, Inc.QOC 9.7CTWCTWQOC 7.0PLTKPlaytika Holding Corp.QOC 6.3MGAMMobile Global Esports Inc.QOC 4.9DDIDoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd.QOC 2.7

Read investment analysis: TTWO · MYPS · GRVY · RBLX · NTES · CTW · PLTK · MGAM · DDI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MSGM?

7 companies across all industries closest to MSGM’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

AVAAvista CorporationQOC 7.4CRONCronos Group Inc.QOC 7.4CXTCrane NXT, Co.QOC 7.4USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.QOC 7.4DCTHDelcath Systems, Inc.QOC 7.4LAZLazard, Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AVA · CRON · CXT · USFD · DCTH · LAZ · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Motorsport Games Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Motorsport Games Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM)'s intrinsic value at $5.11 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.66 to $8.38. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.66 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MSGM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.90, 7 of 9 active models suggest MSGM may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $5.11, 31.1% above the current price of $3.90 — a consensus view that MSGM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Motorsport Games Inc.'s business model in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for MSGM?

Motorsport Games Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MSGM?

CirclFi analyzes MSGM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MSGM?

Of the 9 models currently active on MSGM, First Chicago is the most bullish at $8.38 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $1.66. CirclFi's published fair value for MSGM is the median of that range, $5.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 131% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MSGM a value trap in 2026?

Motorsport Games Inc.'s Value Trap score is 43/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Motorsport Games Inc. (MSGM) has a median fair value of $5.11 — 31.1% above the current price of $3.90 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MSGM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MSGM valuation
  • Financial statements: Motorsport Games Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001821175) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MSGM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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