Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) Fair Value 2026

TTWO · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) trades at $235.39, versus a $25.32 median fair value across its 3 active models — 89.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TTWO
Price
$235.39
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: 3 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $25.32, 89.2% below the current price of $235.39. Estimates range from $12.24 to $55.31. TTWO scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TTWO’s -89.2% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TTWO?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($235.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.24 -94.8%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $55.31 -76.5%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $25.32 -89.2%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is TTWO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $12.24 to $55.31

CirclFi's 3 active models place Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) between $12.24 and $55.31 per share, a spread of 170% of the median. The median of that range — $25.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TTWO, against a current price of $235.39.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$12.24median $25.32$55.31
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$12.24
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$55.31
Model agreement0 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TTWO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TTWO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $25.32. Trading at its current price of $235.39, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 3 of 3 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -89.2%.

What Do the Models Say About TTWO?

3 of 13 models are currently active for TTWO. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for TTWO is $25.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TTWO Rank in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia?

Among 22 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, TTWO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s positioning within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia segment means that fiber/5G penetration plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including broadband subscriber growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TTWO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TTWO a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.7/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

Models cluster within a tight range (+18.3% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TTWO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TTWO's 3 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Gaming & Multimedia Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks with 13-model coverage

GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.QOC 8.4MSGMMotorsport Games Inc.QOC 7.4NTESNetEase, Inc.QOC 9.7MYPSPLAYSTUDIOS, Inc.QOC 7.2GMHSGamehaus Holdings Inc.QOC 2.1RBLXRoblox CorporationQOC 7.1SOHUSohu.com LimitedQOC 6.7GXAIGaxos.ai Inc.QOC 5.3GCLGCL Global Holdings LtdQOC 2.8

Read investment analysis: GRVY · MSGM · NTES · MYPS · GMHS · RBLX · SOHU · GXAI · GCL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TTWO?

7 companies across all industries closest to TTWO’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

NCTIntercont (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.7SRSpire Inc.QOC 7.7HLLYHolley Inc.QOC 7.7MNRMach Natural Resources LPQOC 7.7VSNTVersant Media Group, Inc.QOC 7.7STVNStevanato Group S.p.A.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NCT · SR · HLLY · MNR · VSNT · STVN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)'s intrinsic value at $25.32 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $12.24 to $55.31. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TTWO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $235.39, 0 of 3 active models suggest TTWO may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $25.32, 89.2% below the current price of $235.39 — a consensus view that TTWO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s business model in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for TTWO?

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TTWO?

CirclFi analyzes TTWO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TTWO?

Of the 3 models currently active on TTWO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $55.31 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $12.24. CirclFi's published fair value for TTWO is the median of that range, $25.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 170% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TTWO a value trap in 2026?

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) has a median fair value of $25.32 — 89.2% below the current price of $235.39 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TTWO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TTWO valuation

Market data for TTWO as of ; valuations recomputed .