Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Fair Value 2026

KNTK · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) trades at $53.81, versus a $27.56 median fair value across its 7 active models — 48.8% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KNTK
Price
$53.81
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +25.5% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $27.56, 48.8% below the current price of $53.81. Estimates range from $1.40 to $67.51. KNTK scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KNTK’s -48.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kinetik Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KNTK?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($53.81)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $33.46 -37.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $67.51 +25.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.09 -75.7%
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What Is KNTK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $1.40 to $67.51

CirclFi's 7 active models place Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) between $1.40 and $67.51 per share, a spread of 240% of the median. The median of that range — $27.56 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KNTK, against a current price of $53.81.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Markov DDM
$1.40median $27.56$67.51
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$1.40
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$67.51
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KNTK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KNTK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $27.56. Trading at its current price of $53.81, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -48.8%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $67.51 (+25.5%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $1.40 (-97.4%). This +122.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About KNTK?

7 of 13 models are currently active for KNTK. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KNTK is $27.56 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KNTK Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 55 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, KNTK ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

The Oil & Gas Midstream sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy businesses. For Kinetik Holdings Inc., metrics like reserve replacement ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is KNTK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KNTK a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Kinetik Holdings Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kinetik Holdings Inc. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KNTK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KNTK's 7 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kinetik Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

DLNGDynagas LNG Partners LPQOC 7.5VGVenture Global, Inc.QOC 7.3ENBEnbridge Inc.QOC 7.6STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.QOC 7.3GLPGlobal Partners LPQOC 7.6KNOPKNOT Offshore Partners LPQOC 7.1NFENew Fortress Energy Inc.QOC 5.5CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.QOC 8.9IMPPImperial Petroleum Inc.QOC 8.1HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: DLNG · VG · ENB · STNG · GLP · KNOP · NFE · CQP · IMPP · HESM · FLNG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KNTK?

7 companies across all industries closest to KNTK’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 7.4JBLUJetBlue Airways CorporationQOC 7.4CPHCCanterbury Park Holding CorporationQOC 7.4KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4MRBKMeridian CorporationQOC 7.4CACCamden National CorporationQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ATKR · JBLU · CPHC · KOP · MRBK · CAC · NVDA

Where Does KNTK Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

KNTK is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kinetik Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK)'s intrinsic value at $27.56 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.40 to $67.51. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KNTK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $53.81, 1 of 7 active models suggest KNTK may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $27.56, 48.8% below the current price of $53.81 — a consensus view that KNTK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for KNTK?

Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KNTK?

CirclFi analyzes KNTK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KNTK?

Of the 7 models currently active on KNTK, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $67.51 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $1.40. CirclFi's published fair value for KNTK is the median of that range, $27.56, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 240% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KNTK a value trap in 2026?

Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) has a median fair value of $27.56 — 48.8% below the current price of $53.81 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KNTK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KNTK valuation
  • Financial statements: Kinetik Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001692787) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KNTK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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