Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Fair Value 2026

SPB · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) trades at $88.50, versus a $83.27 median fair value across its 9 active models — 5.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SPB
Price
$88.50
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +30.5% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $83.27, within 5.9% of the current price of $88.50. Estimates range from $3.39 to $129.36. SPB scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SPB’s -5.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Household & Personal Products sector median is -6.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SPB?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($88.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.39 -96.2%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $80.67 -8.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $83.27 -5.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $115.45 +30.5%
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What Is SPB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $3.39 to $129.36

CirclFi's 9 active models place Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) between $3.39 and $129.36 per share, a spread of 151% of the median. The median of that range — $83.27 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SPB, against a current price of $88.50.

Low · EPVHigh · PWERM
$3.39median $83.27$129.36
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$3.39
Most bullish modelPWERM$129.36
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SPB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SPB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. at its current price of $88.50. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $83.27 (-5.9% vs price), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +46.2% (fair value: $129.36), while EPV is the most conservative at -96.2% ($3.39). The spread between these extremes — +142.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SPB?

9 of 13 models are currently active for SPB. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SPB is $83.27 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SPB Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 35 Household & Personal Products stocks, SPB ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

As a retail business, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SPB should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SPB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SPB a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. is rated at 7.7/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +142.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SPB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SPB's 9 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.7ULUnilever PLCQOC 7.6CLXThe Clorox CompanyQOC 7.9KVUEKenvue Inc.QOC 7.6KMBKimberly-Clark CorporationQOC 8.0ODDOddity Tech Ltd.QOC 7.6ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.QOC 6.8PUREPURE Bioscience, Inc.QOC 5.4PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: NUS · UL · CLX · KVUE · KMB · ODD · EL · PURE · PG · IPAR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SPB?

6 companies across all industries closest to SPB’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanyQOC 7.7CMCCommercial Metals CompanyQOC 7.7VSNTVersant Media Group, Inc.QOC 7.7MOHMolina Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.7HLLYHolley Inc.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MSEX · CMC · VSNT · MOH · HLLY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB)'s intrinsic value at $83.27 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.39 to $129.36. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SPB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $88.50, 4 of 9 active models suggest SPB may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $83.27, within 5.9% of the current price of $88.50 — a consensus view that SPB is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for SPB?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SPB?

CirclFi analyzes SPB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SPB?

Of the 9 models currently active on SPB, PWERM is the most bullish at $129.36 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $3.39. CirclFi's published fair value for SPB is the median of that range, $83.27, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 151% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SPB a value trap in 2026?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) has a median fair value of $83.27 — within 5.9% of the current price of $88.50 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SPB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SPB valuation
  • Financial statements: Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000109177) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SPB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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