Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) Fair Value 2026

ODD · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) trades at $19.25, versus a $27.51 median fair value across its 9 active models — 42.9% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $31.01.

Key Facts

Ticker
ODD
Price
$19.25
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +103.1% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $27.51, 42.9% above the current price of $19.25. Estimates range from $9.96 to $39.09. ODD scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. ODD’s +42.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Household & Personal Products sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Oddity Tech Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ODD?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.25)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $31.01 +61.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $25.38 +31.9%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $39.09 +103.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.96 -48.3%
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What Is ODD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $9.96 to $39.09

CirclFi's 9 active models place Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) between $9.96 and $39.09 per share, a spread of 106% of the median. The median of that range — $27.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ODD, against a current price of $19.25.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$9.96median $27.51$39.09
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$9.96
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$39.09
Model agreement6 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ODD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ODD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oddity Tech Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $27.51, suggesting a +42.9% median upside from the current price of $19.25. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $39.09 (+103.1%), versus EROIC at $9.96 (-48.3%). This +151.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ODD?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ODD. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ODD is $27.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $31.01 on its own, implying +61.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ODD Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 34 Household & Personal Products stocks, ODD ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Household & Personal Products space, Oddity Tech Ltd. competes in an environment where same-store sales growth (comps) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ODD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ODD a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Oddity Tech Ltd.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Oddity Tech Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +151.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ODD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ODD's 9 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Oddity Tech Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

KVUEKenvue Inc.QOC 7.6EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanyQOC 7.4ULUnilever PLCQOC 7.6YSGYatsen Holding LimitedQOC 6.8NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.7SLSNSolesence, Inc.QOC 6.8NWLNewell Brands Inc.QOC 6.2ADTIAdapti, Inc.QOC 3.2ACUAcme United CorporationQOC 8.3IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: KVUE · EPC · UL · YSG · NUS · SLSN · NWL · ADTI · ACU · IPAR · PG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ODD?

7 companies across all industries closest to ODD’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

DARDarling Ingredients Inc.QOC 7.4BCCBoise Cascade CompanyQOC 7.4JBSJBS N.V.QOC 7.4PUBMPubMatic, Inc.QOC 7.4CTOCTO Realty Growth, Inc.QOC 7.4XPEVXPeng Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DAR · BCC · JBS · PUBM · CTO · XPEV · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Oddity Tech Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Oddity Tech Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD)'s intrinsic value at $27.51 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $9.96 to $39.09. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $31.01 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.25, 7 of 9 active models suggest ODD may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $27.51, 42.9% above the current price of $19.25 — a consensus view that ODD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Oddity Tech Ltd.'s business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for ODD?

Oddity Tech Ltd.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ODD?

CirclFi analyzes ODD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ODD?

Of the 9 models currently active on ODD, First Chicago is the most bullish at $39.09 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $9.96. CirclFi's published fair value for ODD is the median of that range, $27.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 106% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ODD a value trap in 2026?

Oddity Tech Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) has a median fair value of $27.51 — 42.9% above the current price of $19.25 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ODD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ODD valuation
  • Financial statements: Oddity Tech Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001907085) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ODD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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