ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Fair Value 2026

ODD · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) trades at $16.55, approximately 10% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.10. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ODD
Price
$16.55
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +369.8% upside with 35% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$15.10 -8.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$7.33 -55.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$20.99 +26.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$77.76 +369.8%

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What Is ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ODDITY Tech Ltd. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $16.55. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $24.25 (+46.5% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 7 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $77.76 (+369.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.46 (-91.2%). This +461.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ODD?

13 of 13 models are currently active for ODD. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ODD's intrinsic value at $15.10, implying -8.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ODD Rank in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations?

Among 20 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks, ODD ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places ODD in the top tier.

Within the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations space, ODDITY Tech Ltd. competes in an environment where reserve replacement ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ODD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ODD a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for ODDITY Tech Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, ODDITY Tech Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +461.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ODD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ODD's 13 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ODDITY Tech Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: IPAR · CL · HLN · ELF · UG

Frequently Asked Questions About ODDITY Tech Ltd.

What is ODDITY Tech Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $15.10. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.55, 8 of 13 active models suggest ODD may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ODDITY Tech Ltd.'s business model in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for ODD?

ODDITY Tech Ltd.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ODD?

CirclFi analyzes ODD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ODD a value trap in 2026?

ODDITY Tech Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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