Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) Fair Value 2026

EPC · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) trades at $27.45, approximately 98% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $13.85. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EPC
Price
$27.45
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +137.9% upside with 82% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$13.85 -49.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$65.31 +137.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$37.79 +37.7%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$51.91 +89.1%

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What Is Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Edgewell Personal Care Company at $27.45. With an estimated intrinsic value of $36.78 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +34.0%. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $65.31 (+137.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $13.85 (-49.6%). This +187.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Edgewell Personal Care Company's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About EPC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for EPC. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EPC's intrinsic value at $13.85, implying -49.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EPC Rank in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations?

Among 20 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks, EPC ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

The Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy businesses. For Edgewell Personal Care Company, metrics like finding and development costs (F&D) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is EPC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EPC a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Edgewell Personal Care Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Edgewell Personal Care Company earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +187.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EPC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EPC's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Edgewell Personal Care Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: IPAR · ODD · CL · HLN · ELF

Frequently Asked Questions About Edgewell Personal Care Company

What is Edgewell Personal Care Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $13.85. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EPC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.45, 8 of 12 active models suggest EPC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Edgewell Personal Care Company's business model in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for EPC?

Edgewell Personal Care Company's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EPC?

CirclFi analyzes EPC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EPC a value trap in 2026?

Edgewell Personal Care Company's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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