Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) Fair Value 2026

KVUE · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) trades at $19.17, versus a $17.57 median fair value across its 11 active models — 8.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $30.12.

Key Facts

Ticker
KVUE
Price
$19.17
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +57.1% upside with 73% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $17.57, within 8.3% of the current price of $19.17. Estimates range from $7.96 to $33.74. KVUE scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KVUE’s -8.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Household & Personal Products sector median is -7.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kenvue Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KVUE?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $30.12 +57.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.15 -41.8%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $17.57 -8.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.75 -54.4%
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What Is KVUE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $7.96 to $33.74

CirclFi's 11 active models place Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) between $7.96 and $33.74 per share, a spread of 147% of the median. The median of that range — $17.57 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KVUE, against a current price of $19.17.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$7.96median $17.57$33.74
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$7.96
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$33.74
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KVUE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KVUE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kenvue Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $17.57, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $19.17. While the median implied return is -8.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +134.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $33.74 (+76.0%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $7.96 (-58.5%). This +134.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Kenvue Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KVUE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KVUE. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KVUE is $17.57 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $30.12 on its own, implying +57.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KVUE Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 35 Household & Personal Products stocks, KVUE ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a consumer sector, Kenvue Inc. operates in a sector where store traffic trends is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating KVUE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is KVUE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KVUE a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Kenvue Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Kenvue Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +134.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KVUE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KVUE's 11 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kenvue Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

ULUnilever PLCQOC 7.6ODDOddity Tech Ltd.QOC 7.6SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanyQOC 7.4NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.7SLSNSolesence, Inc.QOC 6.8MAGNMagnera CorporationQOC 6.6GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.7CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.QOC 8.4IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: UL · ODD · SPB · EPC · NUS · SLSN · MAGN · GROV · CHD · IPAR · PG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KVUE?

7 companies across all industries closest to KVUE’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.QOC 7.6SUZSuzano S.A.QOC 7.6EVCMEverCommerce Inc.QOC 7.6PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6LINCLincoln Educational Services CorporationQOC 7.6AERAAI Era Corp.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SMP · SUZ · EVCM · PRG · LINC · AERA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kenvue Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Kenvue Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kenvue Inc. (KVUE)'s intrinsic value at $17.57 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $7.96 to $33.74. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $30.12 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KVUE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.17, 4 of 11 active models suggest KVUE may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $17.57, within 8.3% of the current price of $19.17 — a consensus view that KVUE is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kenvue Inc.'s business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for KVUE?

Kenvue Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KVUE?

CirclFi analyzes KVUE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KVUE?

Of the 11 models currently active on KVUE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $33.74 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $7.96. CirclFi's published fair value for KVUE is the median of that range, $17.57, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 147% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KVUE a value trap in 2026?

Kenvue Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) has a median fair value of $17.57 — within 8.3% of the current price of $19.17 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KVUE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KVUE valuation
  • Financial statements: Kenvue Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001944048) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KVUE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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