Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) Fair Value 2026

YSG · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) trades at $3.04. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
YSG
Price
$3.04
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give YSG?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $2.48 -18.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yatsen Holding Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.48, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $3.04. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-18.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About YSG?

1 of 13 models are currently active for YSG. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YSG Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 35 Household & Personal Products stocks, YSG ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

As a consumer sector, Yatsen Holding Limited operates in a sector where brand equity index is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating YSG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is YSG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YSG a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Yatsen Holding Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Yatsen Holding Limited is rated at 6.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YSG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YSG's 1 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Yatsen Holding Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

SLSNSolesence, Inc.QOC 6.8RAYRaytech Holding LimitedQOC 6.8EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanyQOC 7.4ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.QOC 6.8ODDOddity Tech Ltd.QOC 7.6HELEHelen of Troy LimitedQOC 6.6COTYCoty Inc.QOC 6.1DSYBig Tree Cloud Holdings LimitedQOC 2.4KMBKimberly-Clark CorporationQOC 8.0IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: SLSN · RAY · EPC · EL · ODD · HELE · COTY · DSY · KMB · IPAR · PG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to YSG?

7 companies across all industries closest to YSG’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

ARENThe Arena Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8FDSBFifth District Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.8DDominion Energy, Inc.QOC 6.8ANIKAnika Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.8OMCOmnicom Group Inc.QOC 6.8DEAEasterly Government Properties, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AREN · FDSB · D · ANIK · OMC · DEA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Yatsen Holding Limited’s Valuation?

What is Yatsen Holding Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG). The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YSG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.04, 0 of 1 active models suggest YSG may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Yatsen Holding Limited's business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for YSG?

Yatsen Holding Limited's QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YSG?

CirclFi analyzes YSG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is YSG a value trap in 2026?

Yatsen Holding Limited's Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/YSG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this YSG valuation
  • Financial statements: Yatsen Holding Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001819580) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for YSG as of ; valuations recomputed .