What Is Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yatsen Holding Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $6.15, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $3.56. While the average implied return is +72.7%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +461.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $17.73 (+397.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $1.29 (-63.7%). This +461.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Yatsen Holding Limited's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About YSG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for YSG. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates YSG's intrinsic value at $1.29, implying -63.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does YSG Rank in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations?
Among 20 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks, YSG ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.
As a energy sector, Yatsen Holding Limited operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating YSG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is YSG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YSG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Yatsen Holding Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Yatsen Holding Limited is rated at 6.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +461.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every YSG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across YSG's 12 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →