What Is US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, US Foods Holding Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $70.29. Trading at $101.34, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -30.6%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $153.96 (+51.9%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $4.38 (-95.7%). This +147.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about US Foods Holding Corp.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About USFD?
12 of 13 models are currently active for USFD. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates USFD's intrinsic value at $27.62, implying -72.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does USFD Rank in Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products?
Among 5 Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products stocks, USFD ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
US Foods Holding Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is USFD a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for USFD. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for US Foods Holding Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, US Foods Holding Corp. earns a quality score of 7.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +147.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every USFD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across USFD's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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