HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Fair Value 2026

HFFG · Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) trades at $1.69, approximately 14% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.97. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HFFG
Price
$1.69
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +123.1% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 5.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$1.97 +16.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.77 +123.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$2.86 +69.0%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$0.32 -80.9%

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What Is HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, HF Foods Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.35. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $1.69 (implied upside of +38.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 10 bullish models. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +123.1% (fair value: $3.77), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -80.9% ($0.32). The spread between these extremes — +204.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About HFFG?

10 of 13 models are currently active for HFFG. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HFFG's intrinsic value at $1.97, implying +16.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HFFG Rank in Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products?

Among 5 Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products stocks, HFFG ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

HF Foods Group Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HFFG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HFFG a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for HF Foods Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, HF Foods Group Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +204.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HFFG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HFFG's 10 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy HF Foods Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About HF Foods Group Inc.

What is HF Foods Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.97. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HFFG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.69, 8 of 10 active models suggest HFFG may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits HF Foods Group Inc.'s business model in Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for HFFG?

HF Foods Group Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HFFG?

CirclFi analyzes HFFG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HFFG a value trap in 2026?

HF Foods Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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