HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Fair Value 2026

HFFG · Food Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) trades at $1.80, versus a $7.18 median fair value across its 4 active models — 298.9% above the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HFFG
Price
$1.80
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +419.2% upside with 6% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (4/13) may reduce confidence

Is HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) appears undervalued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $7.18, 298.9% above the current price of $1.80. Estimates range from $1.79 to $9.35. HFFG scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HFFG’s +298.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy HF Foods Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HFFG?

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.80)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.35 +419.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $6.97 +287.2%
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What Is HFFG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 4 independent models · $1.79 to $9.35

CirclFi's 4 active models place HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) between $1.79 and $9.35 per share, a spread of 105% of the median. The median of that range — $7.18 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HFFG, against a current price of $1.80.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · CUCE
$1.79median $7.18$9.35
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$1.79
Most bullish modelCUCE$9.35
Model agreement3 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HFFG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HFFG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, HF Foods Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $7.18. At a current market price of $1.80, 3 of 4 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +298.9%. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +419.2% (fair value: $9.35), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -0.5% ($1.79). The spread between these extremes — +419.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About HFFG?

4 of 13 models are currently active for HFFG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HFFG is $7.18 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HFFG Rank in Food Distribution?

Among 15 Food Distribution stocks, HFFG ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

As a retail business, HF Foods Group Inc. operates in a sector where e-commerce penetration rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HFFG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is HFFG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HFFG a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for HF Foods Group Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, HF Foods Group Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +419.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HFFG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HFFG's 4 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy HF Foods Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Food Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Food Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.QOC 7.4IVFHInnovative Food Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.QOC 7.5MTEXMannatech, IncorporatedQOC 6.0DITAMCON Distributing CompanyQOC 7.6AIXNAiXin Life International, Inc.QOC 4.7CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.QOC 8.5PFGCPerformance Food Group CompanyQOC 7.9SYYSysco CorporationQOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: USFD · IVFH · UNFI · MTEX · DIT · AIXN · CHEF · PFGC · SYY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HFFG?

7 companies across all industries closest to HFFG’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

NINENine Energy Service, Inc.QOC 7.1MASS908 Devices Inc.QOC 7.1SAFESafehold Inc.QOC 7.1MHHMastech Digital, Inc.QOC 7.1EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc.QOC 7.1AIPArteris, Inc.QOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NINE · MASS · SAFE · MHH · EQPT · AIP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About HF Foods Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is HF Foods Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG)'s intrinsic value at $7.18 — the median of 4 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.79 to $9.35. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HFFG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.80, 3 of 4 active models suggest HFFG may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $7.18, 298.9% above the current price of $1.80 — a consensus view that HFFG is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits HF Foods Group Inc.'s business model in Food Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for HFFG?

HF Foods Group Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HFFG?

CirclFi analyzes HFFG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HFFG?

Of the 4 models currently active on HFFG, CUCE is the most bullish at $9.35 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $1.79. CirclFi's published fair value for HFFG is the median of that range, $7.18, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 105% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HFFG a value trap in 2026?

HF Foods Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) has a median fair value of $7.18 — 298.9% above the current price of $1.80 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HFFG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HFFG valuation
  • Financial statements: HF Foods Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001680873) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HFFG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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