Sysco Corporation (SYY) Fair Value 2026

SYY · Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Sysco Corporation (SYY) trades at $83.45, approximately 13% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $73.89. QOC: 7.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SYY
Price
$83.45
Quality Score
7.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($83.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$73.89 -11.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$12.91 -84.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$52.36 -37.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$65.73 -21.2%

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What Is Sysco Corporation (SYY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sysco Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $72.12, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $83.45. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-13.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $340.94 (+308.6%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $11.19 (-86.6%). This +395.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Sysco Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SYY?

13 of 13 models are currently active for SYY. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SYY's intrinsic value at $73.89, implying -11.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SYY Rank in Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products?

Among 5 Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products stocks, SYY ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.

Sysco Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SYY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SYY a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Sysco Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Sysco Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +395.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SYY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SYY's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sysco Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Sysco Corporation

What is Sysco Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Sysco Corporation (SYY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $73.89. The Quality of Company score is 7.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SYY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $83.45, 3 of 13 active models suggest SYY may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sysco Corporation's business model in Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.9 mean for SYY?

Sysco Corporation's QOC of 7.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SYY?

CirclFi analyzes SYY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SYY a value trap in 2026?

Sysco Corporation's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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