AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) Fair Value 2026

DIT · Food Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) trades at $69.00, versus a $59.99 median fair value across its 11 active models — 13.1% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $304.45.

Key Facts

Ticker
DIT
Price
$69.00
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +341.2% upside with 70% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $59.99, 13.1% below the current price of $69.00. Estimates range from $11.48 to $304.45. DIT scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. DIT’s -13.1% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AMCON Distributing Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DIT?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($69.00)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $304.45 +341.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $110.75 +60.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $139.85 +102.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $59.99 -13.1%
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What Is DIT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $11.48 to $304.45

CirclFi's 11 active models place AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) between $11.48 and $304.45 per share, a spread of 488% of the median. The median of that range — $59.99 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DIT, against a current price of $69.00.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · Bayesian DCF
$11.48median $59.99$304.45
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$11.48
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$304.45
Model agreement5 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DIT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DIT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AMCON Distributing Company's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $59.99, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $69.00. While the median implied return is -13.1%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +424.6% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $304.45 (+341.2%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $11.48 (-83.4%). This +424.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about AMCON Distributing Company's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About DIT?

11 of 13 models are currently active for DIT. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DIT is $59.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $304.45 on its own, implying +341.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DIT Rank in Food Distribution?

Among 15 Food Distribution stocks, DIT ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Food Distribution space, AMCON Distributing Company competes in an environment where gross margin expansion often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is DIT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DIT a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for AMCON Distributing Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, AMCON Distributing Company's fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +424.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DIT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DIT's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AMCON Distributing Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Food Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Food Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

PFGCPerformance Food Group CompanyQOC 7.9UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.QOC 7.5AVOMission Produce, Inc.QOC 8.0USFDUS Foods Holding Corp.QOC 7.4ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.QOC 8.2HFFGHF Foods Group Inc.QOC 7.1TWOHQuantum X Inc.QOC 3.3WILCG. Willi-Food International Ltd.QOC 8.4SYYSysco CorporationQOC 8.7CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.QOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: PFGC · UNFI · AVO · USFD · ANDE · HFFG · TWOH · WILC · SYY · CHEF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DIT?

7 companies across all industries closest to DIT’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.6MIRMirion Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.6ESABESAB CorporationQOC 7.6ASFHAsiaFIN Holdings Corp.QOC 7.6LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6JLJ-Long Group LimitedQOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DLR · MIR · ESAB · ASFH · LOCO · JL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About AMCON Distributing Company’s Valuation?

What is AMCON Distributing Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)'s intrinsic value at $59.99 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $11.48 to $304.45. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $304.45 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DIT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $69.00, 5 of 11 active models suggest DIT may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $59.99, 13.1% below the current price of $69.00 — a consensus view that DIT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AMCON Distributing Company's business model in Food Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for DIT?

AMCON Distributing Company's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DIT?

CirclFi analyzes DIT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DIT?

Of the 11 models currently active on DIT, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $304.45 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $11.48. CirclFi's published fair value for DIT is the median of that range, $59.99, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 488% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DIT a value trap in 2026?

AMCON Distributing Company's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) has a median fair value of $59.99 — 13.1% below the current price of $69.00 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DIT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DIT valuation
  • Financial statements: AMCON Distributing Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000928465) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DIT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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