What Is Toronto Dominion Bank (The) (TD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Toronto Dominion Bank (The) presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $120.64. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $162.91 (+35.0% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $395.28 (+227.7%), versus EPV at $54.09 (-55.2%). This +282.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About TD?
12 of 13 models are currently active for TD. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TD's intrinsic value at $395.28, implying +227.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TD Rank in Commercial Banks, NEC?
Among 33 Commercial Banks, NEC stocks, TD ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Commercial Banks, NEC Stocks →
Toronto Dominion Bank (The)'s positioning within the Commercial Banks, NEC segment means that return on tangible equity plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including digital banking adoption — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is TD a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TD. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Toronto Dominion Bank (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Toronto Dominion Bank (The) earns a quality score of 7.0/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +282.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TD's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →