Century Casinos, Inc. (CNTY) Fair Value 2026

CNTY · Hotels & Motels ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Century Casinos, Inc. (CNTY) trades at $1.26, approximately 4% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.21. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CNTY
Price
$1.26
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +158.6% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.21 -4.2%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
$3.26 +158.6%
ML-RIV
Low Conviction
$0.12 -90.5%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is Century Casinos, Inc. (CNTY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Century Casinos, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $1.53, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $1.26. While the average implied return is +21.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +249.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $3.26 (+158.6%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.12 (-90.5%). This +249.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Century Casinos, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CNTY?

3 of 13 models are currently active for CNTY. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CNTY's intrinsic value at $1.21, implying -4.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CNTY Rank in Hotels & Motels?

Among 28 Hotels & Motels stocks, CNTY ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Century Casinos, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CNTY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CNTY a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Century Casinos, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Century Casinos, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +249.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CNTY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CNTY's 3 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Century Casinos, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Hotels & Motels Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Hotels & Motels stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ATAT · MCRI · HTHT · WH · HLT

Frequently Asked Questions About Century Casinos, Inc.

What is Century Casinos, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Century Casinos, Inc. (CNTY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.21. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CNTY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.26, 1 of 3 active models suggest CNTY may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Century Casinos, Inc.'s business model in Hotels & Motels.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for CNTY?

Century Casinos, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CNTY?

CirclFi analyzes CNTY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CNTY a value trap in 2026?

Century Casinos, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →