Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL) Fair Value 2026

FLL · Resorts & Casinos ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL) trades at $1.36, versus a $1.33 median fair value across its 2 active models — 2.2% below the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FLL
Price
$1.36
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +23.5% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $1.33, within 2.2% of the current price of $1.36. Estimates range from $0.98 to $1.68. FLL scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. FLL’s -2.2% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Full House Resorts, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FLL?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.36)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Scenario · High Conviction
 $1.68 +23.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.98 -27.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Full House Resorts, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $1.33, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $1.36. While the median implied return is -2.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +51.4% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $1.68 (+23.5%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.98 (-27.9%). This +51.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Full House Resorts, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FLL?

2 of 13 models are currently active for FLL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FLL is $1.33 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FLL Rank in Resorts & Casinos?

Among 18 Resorts & Casinos stocks, FLL ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Full House Resorts, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FLL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FLL a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Full House Resorts, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Full House Resorts, Inc. scores 6.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +51.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FLL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FLL's 2 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Full House Resorts, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Resorts & Casinos Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Resorts & Casinos stocks with 13-model coverage

MSCStudio City International Holdings LimitedQOC 6.4CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.QOC 6.3CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.QOC 6.9VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide CorporationQOC 6.2CPHCCanterbury Park Holding CorporationQOC 7.4PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.QOC 5.6BALYBally's CorporationQOC 5.5RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.2MTNVail Resorts, Inc.QOC 7.6TBTCTable Trac, Inc.QOC 9.5MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: MSC · CNTY · CZR · VAC · CPHC · PENN · BALY · RRR · MTN · TBTC · MCRI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FLL?

7 companies across all industries closest to FLL’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

MGTEMarblegate Capital CorporationQOC 6.3HCATHealth Catalyst, Inc.QOC 6.3TCRXTScan Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.3SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.QOC 6.3NCRANocera, Inc.QOC 6.3SNOASonoma Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MGTE · HCAT · TCRX · SFL · NCRA · SNOA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Full House Resorts, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Full House Resorts, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL)'s intrinsic value at $1.33 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.98 to $1.68. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FLL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.36, 1 of 2 active models suggest FLL may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $1.33, within 2.2% of the current price of $1.36 — a consensus view that FLL is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Full House Resorts, Inc.'s business model in Resorts & Casinos.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for FLL?

Full House Resorts, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FLL?

CirclFi analyzes FLL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FLL a value trap in 2026?

Full House Resorts, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Full House Resorts, Inc. (FLL) has a median fair value of $1.33 — within 2.2% of the current price of $1.36 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FLL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FLL valuation
  • Financial statements: Full House Resorts, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000891482) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FLL as of ; valuations recomputed .