What Is Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $50.67, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $49.19. With an average implied return of +3.0% across a split 5–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +216.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +125.5% (fair value: $110.94), while EROIC is the most conservative at -90.5% ($4.69). The spread between these extremes — +216.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About HGV?
11 of 13 models are currently active for HGV. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HGV's intrinsic value at $47.30, implying -3.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HGV Rank in Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places?
Among 3 Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places stocks, HGV ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is HGV a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HGV a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +216.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HGV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HGV's 11 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad