Civeo Corporation (CVEO) Fair Value 2026

CVEO · Lodging ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Civeo Corporation (CVEO) trades at $33.12, versus a $34.01 median fair value across its 8 active models — 2.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $9.46.

Key Facts

Ticker
CVEO
Price
$33.12
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +20.3% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Civeo Corporation (CVEO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Civeo Corporation (CVEO) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $34.01, within 2.7% of the current price of $33.12. Estimates range from $2.50 to $83.79. CVEO scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CVEO’s +2.7% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Civeo Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CVEO?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($33.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.46 -71.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $38.80 +17.2%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $2.50 -92.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.83 +20.3%
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What Is CVEO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $2.50 to $83.79

CirclFi's 8 active models place Civeo Corporation (CVEO) between $2.50 and $83.79 per share, a spread of 239% of the median. The median of that range — $34.01 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CVEO, against a current price of $33.12.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$2.50median $34.01$83.79
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.50
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$83.79
Model agreement4 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CVEO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CVEO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Civeo Corporation (CVEO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Civeo Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $34.01, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $33.12. With a median implied return of +2.7% across a split 4–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +245.4% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +153.0% (fair value: $83.79), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -92.4% ($2.50). The spread between these extremes — +245.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CVEO?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CVEO. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CVEO is $34.01 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $9.46 on its own, implying -71.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CVEO Rank in Lodging?

Among 12 Lodging stocks, CVEO ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Civeo Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CVEO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVEO a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Civeo Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Civeo Corporation is rated at 6.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +245.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CVEO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CVEO's 8 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Civeo Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Lodging Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Lodging stocks with 13-model coverage

ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings LimitedQOC 9.7HTHTH World Group LimitedQOC 8.9CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.QOC 8.7HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.QOC 8.2WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 7.9MARMarriott International, Inc.QOC 7.8GHGGreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.QOC 7.2HHyatt Hotels CorporationQOC 6.6PRSIPortsmouth Square, Inc.QOC 5.4INTGThe InterGroup CorporationQOC 5.4IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLCQOC 2.6

Read investment analysis: ATAT · HTHT · CHH · HLT · WH · MAR · GHG · H · PRSI · INTG · IHG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CVEO?

7 companies across all industries closest to CVEO’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

FLUTFlutter Entertainment plcQOC 6.3THTarget Hospitality Corp.QOC 6.3GNLGlobal Net Lease, Inc.QOC 6.3CRDLCardiol Therapeutics Inc.QOC 6.3TSQTownsquare Media, Inc.QOC 6.3BDSXBiodesix, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FLUT · TH · GNL · CRDL · TSQ · BDSX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Civeo Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Civeo Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Civeo Corporation (CVEO)'s intrinsic value at $34.01 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.50 to $83.79. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $9.46 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CVEO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $33.12, 4 of 8 active models suggest CVEO may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $34.01, within 2.7% of the current price of $33.12 — a consensus view that CVEO is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Civeo Corporation's business model in Lodging.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for CVEO?

Civeo Corporation's QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CVEO?

CirclFi analyzes CVEO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CVEO?

Of the 8 models currently active on CVEO, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $83.79 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.50. CirclFi's published fair value for CVEO is the median of that range, $34.01, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 239% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CVEO a value trap in 2026?

Civeo Corporation's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Civeo Corporation (CVEO) has a median fair value of $34.01 — within 2.7% of the current price of $33.12 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CVEO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CVEO valuation
  • Financial statements: Civeo Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001590584) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CVEO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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