What Is MGM Resorts International (MGM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on MGM Resorts International at $46.85. With an estimated intrinsic value of $51.95 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +10.9%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $130.42 (+178.4%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $2.25 (-95.2%). This +273.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about MGM Resorts International's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MGM?
12 of 13 models are currently active for MGM. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MGM's intrinsic value at $77.18, implying +64.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MGM Rank in Hotels & Motels?
Among 27 Hotels & Motels stocks, MGM ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.
MGM Resorts International operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MGM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MGM a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for MGM Resorts International. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, MGM Resorts International's fundamental quality profile registers 5.5/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +273.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MGM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MGM's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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