CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Fair Value 2026

CMBT · Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) trades at $15.45, approximately 374% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.26. QOC: 2.4/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CMBT
Price
$15.45
Quality Score
2.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +294.8% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$3.26 -78.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$60.98 +294.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$18.45 +19.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$41.71 +170.0%

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What Is CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on CMB.TECH NV at $15.45. With an estimated intrinsic value of $24.58 and 8 of 13 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +59.1%. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $60.98 (+294.8%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $1.96 (-87.3%). This +382.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CMB.TECH NV's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CMBT?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CMBT. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CMBT's intrinsic value at $3.26, implying -78.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CMBT Rank in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight?

Among 44 Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks, CMBT ranks #40 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.4 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks →

CMB.TECH NV's positioning within the Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight segment means that inventory days supply plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including autonomous driving technology — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CMBT a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CMBT. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for CMB.TECH NV. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, CMB.TECH NV earns a quality score of 2.4/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +382.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CMBT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CMBT's 13 active models, average confidence is 18%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CMB.TECH NV Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GSL · ECO · DHT · CMRE · NMM

See all Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About CMB.TECH NV

What is CMB.TECH NV's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.26. The Quality of Company score is 2.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CMBT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.45, 8 of 13 active models suggest CMBT may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CMB.TECH NV's business model in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.4 mean for CMBT?

CMB.TECH NV's QOC of 2.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CMBT?

CirclFi analyzes CMBT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CMBT a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CMBT at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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