CEA Industries Inc. (BNC) Fair Value 2026

BNC · Agricultural Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (67/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, CEA Industries Inc. (BNC) trades at $2.89, approximately 75% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $11.67. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 67/100 (DANGER). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BNC
Price
$2.89
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
67/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +483.6% upside with 13% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 67 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$11.67 +303.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$15.28 +428.7%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$16.87 +483.6%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
$3.30 +14.2%

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What Is CEA Industries Inc. (BNC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CEA Industries Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $8.17. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $2.89 (implied upside of +182.7%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 10 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +483.6% (fair value: $16.87), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -66.9% ($0.96). The spread between these extremes — +550.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BNC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for BNC. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BNC's intrinsic value at $11.67, implying +303.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BNC Rank in Agricultural Services?

Among 5 Agricultural Services stocks, BNC ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

CEA Industries Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BNC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BNC a score of 67/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for CEA Industries Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, CEA Industries Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.4/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record. Investors should note the company's elevated value trap risk score, which suggests apparent undervaluation may not be what it seems.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +550.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BNC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BNC's 10 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CEA Industries Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Agricultural Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Agricultural Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: PFAI · AVO · BV · RYM

Frequently Asked Questions About CEA Industries Inc.

What is CEA Industries Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CEA Industries Inc. (BNC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $11.67. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BNC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.89, 6 of 10 active models suggest BNC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CEA Industries Inc.'s business model in Agricultural Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for BNC?

CEA Industries Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BNC?

CirclFi analyzes BNC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BNC a value trap in 2026?

CEA Industries Inc.'s Value Trap score is 67/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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