Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM) Fair Value 2026

CTRM · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM) trades at $2.34, versus a $10.93 median fair value across its 2 active models — 367.2% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $9.87.

Key Facts

Ticker
CTRM
Price
$2.34
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +412.6% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $10.93, 367.2% above the current price of $2.34. Estimates range from $9.87 to $11.99. CTRM scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CTRM’s +367.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -22.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Castor Maritime Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CTRM?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.34)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.87 +321.8%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $11.99 +412.6%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Castor Maritime Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $10.93. At a current market price of $2.34, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +367.2%. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +412.6% (fair value: $11.99), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at +321.8% ($9.87). The spread between these extremes — +90.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CTRM?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CTRM. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for CTRM is $10.93 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $9.87 on its own, implying +321.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CTRM Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 38 Marine Shipping stocks, CTRM ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Castor Maritime Inc.'s positioning within the Marine Shipping segment means that EV mix percentage plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including software-defined vehicle revenue — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CTRM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CTRM a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Castor Maritime Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Castor Maritime Inc. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +90.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CTRM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CTRM's 2 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Castor Maritime Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.QOC 7.6HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.QOC 7.4NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.QOC 7.7PSHGPerformance Shipping Inc.QOC 7.2DSXDiana Shipping Inc.QOC 7.7CISSC3is Inc.QOC 7.1GLBSGlobus Maritime LimitedQOC 6.2ESEAEuroseas Ltd.QOC 3.3HAFNHafnia LimitedQOC 8.5GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: ECO · HSHP · NMM · PSHG · DSX · CISS · GLBS · ESEA · HAFN · GSL · CMRE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CTRM?

7 companies across all industries closest to CTRM’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

SPRSSurge Components, Inc.QOC 7.4FROGJFrog Ltd.QOC 7.4CRKComstock Resources, Inc.QOC 7.4MRXMarex Group LimitedQOC 7.4SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4LANDGladstone Land CorporationQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SPRS · FROG · CRK · MRX · SLGN · LAND · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Castor Maritime Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Castor Maritime Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM)'s intrinsic value at $10.93 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.87 to $11.99. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $9.87 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CTRM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.34, 2 of 2 active models suggest CTRM may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $10.93, 367.2% above the current price of $2.34 — a consensus view that CTRM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Castor Maritime Inc.'s business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for CTRM?

Castor Maritime Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CTRM?

CirclFi analyzes CTRM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CTRM a value trap in 2026?

Castor Maritime Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Castor Maritime Inc. (CTRM) has a median fair value of $10.93 — 367.2% above the current price of $2.34 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CTRM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CTRM valuation
  • Financial statements: Castor Maritime Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001720161) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CTRM as of ; valuations recomputed .