Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) Fair Value 2026

NCRA · Packaged Foods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) trades at $1.75, versus a $3.73 median fair value across its 3 active models — 113.0% above the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NCRA
Price
$1.75
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +127.0% upside with 31% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $3.73, 113.0% above the current price of $1.75. Estimates range from $1.15 to $3.97. NCRA scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NCRA’s +113.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Packaged Foods sector median is -16.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nocera, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NCRA?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.15 -34.5%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.73 +113.0%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $3.97 +127.0%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is NCRA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.15 to $3.97

CirclFi's 3 active models place Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) between $1.15 and $3.97 per share, a spread of 76% of the median. The median of that range — $3.73 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NCRA, against a current price of $1.75.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$1.15median $3.73$3.97
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.15
Most bullish modelPWERM$3.97
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NCRA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nocera, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $3.73. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $1.75 (implied upside of +113.0%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 2 of 3 bullish models. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +127.0% (fair value: $3.97), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -34.5% ($1.15). The spread between these extremes — +161.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NCRA?

3 of 13 models are currently active for NCRA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NCRA is $3.73 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NCRA Rank in Packaged Foods?

Among 81 Packaged Foods stocks, NCRA ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Packaged Foods Stocks →

Nocera, Inc.'s positioning within the Packaged Foods segment means that inventory turnover plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including geographic expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NCRA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NCRA a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Nocera, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Nocera, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +161.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NCRA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NCRA's 3 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nocera, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaged Foods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Packaged Foods stocks with 13-model coverage

SJMThe J. M. Smucker CompanyQOC 6.4BGSB&G Foods, Inc.QOC 6.3CAGConagra Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4BHSTBioHarvest Sciences Inc. Common StockQOC 6.2BRIDBridgford Foods CorporationQOC 6.4GISGeneral Mills, Inc.QOC 6.2CLNNClene Inc.QOC 5.1BFCHBitFrontier Capital Holdings, Inc.QOC 2.9MKCMcCormick & Company, IncorporatedQOC 8.0PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationQOC 9.0JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: SJM · BGS · CAG · BHST · BRID · GIS · CLNN · BFCH · MKC · PPC · JJSF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NCRA?

7 companies across all industries closest to NCRA’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

CVUCPI Aerostructures, Inc.QOC 6.3SJScienjoy Holding CorporationQOC 6.3CREXCreative Realities, Inc.QOC 6.3WATTEnergous CorporationQOC 6.3QUREuniQure N.V.QOC 6.3VTGNVistagen Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CVU · SJ · CREX · WATT · QURE · VTGN · NVDA

Where Does NCRA Sit in CirclFi's Packaged Foods Rankings?

NCRA is ranked against every other Packaged Foods stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Packaged Foods stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Nocera, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Nocera, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Nocera, Inc. (NCRA)'s intrinsic value at $3.73 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.15 to $3.97. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NCRA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.75, 2 of 3 active models suggest NCRA may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $3.73, 113.0% above the current price of $1.75 — a consensus view that NCRA is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nocera, Inc.'s business model in Packaged Foods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for NCRA?

Nocera, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NCRA?

CirclFi analyzes NCRA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NCRA?

Of the 3 models currently active on NCRA, PWERM is the most bullish at $3.97 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.15. CirclFi's published fair value for NCRA is the median of that range, $3.73, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 76% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NCRA a value trap in 2026?

Nocera, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Nocera, Inc. (NCRA) has a median fair value of $3.73 — 113.0% above the current price of $1.75 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NCRA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NCRA valuation
  • Financial statements: Nocera, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001756180) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NCRA as of ; valuations recomputed .