Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) Fair Value 2026

FUN · Leisure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) trades at $15.96, versus a $3.93 median fair value across its 3 active models — 75.4% below the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FUN
Price
$15.96
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +132.0% upside with 30% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $3.93, 75.4% below the current price of $15.96. Estimates range from $1.70 to $37.03. FUN scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FUN’s -75.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Leisure sector median is -28.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Six Flags Entertainment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FUN?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $1.70 -89.3%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $37.03 +132.0%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $3.93 -75.4%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is FUN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.70 to $37.03

CirclFi's 3 active models place Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) between $1.70 and $37.03 per share, a spread of 900% of the median. The median of that range — $3.93 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FUN, against a current price of $15.96.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$1.70median $3.93$37.03
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.70
Most bullish modelPWERM$37.03
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FUN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FUN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Six Flags Entertainment Corporation at its current price of $15.96. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $3.93 (-75.4% vs price), with 2 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $37.03 (+132.0%), versus Regime Cross at $1.70 (-89.3%). This +221.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About FUN?

3 of 13 models are currently active for FUN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FUN is $3.93 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FUN Rank in Leisure?

Among 37 Leisure stocks, FUN ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FUN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FUN a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +221.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FUN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FUN's 3 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Six Flags Entertainment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leisure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Leisure stocks with 13-model coverage

BWMGBrownie's Marine Group, Inc.QOC 6.3FNKOFunko, Inc.QOC 6.2CLARClarus CorporationQOC 6.6XPOFXponential Fitness, Inc.QOC 6.1PRKAParks! America, Inc.QOC 6.9NOMANomadar Corp.QOC 6.0TRONTron Inc.QOC 4.9GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.QOC 8.9ESCAEscalade, IncorporatedQOC 7.8PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: BWMG · FNKO · CLAR · XPOF · PRKA · NOMA · TRON · GOLF · ESCA · PLNT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FUN?

7 companies across all industries closest to FUN’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

MRMMEDIROM Healthcare Technologies Inc.QOC 6.3UAMYUnited States Antimony CorporationQOC 6.3PHATPhathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 6.3NHTCNatural Health Trends Corp.QOC 6.3BDSXBiodesix, Inc.QOC 6.3CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MRM · UAMY · PHAT · NHTC · BDSX · CNTY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Six Flags Entertainment Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)'s intrinsic value at $3.93 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.70 to $37.03. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FUN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.96, 1 of 3 active models suggest FUN may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $3.93, 75.4% below the current price of $15.96 — a consensus view that FUN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's business model in Leisure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for FUN?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FUN?

CirclFi analyzes FUN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FUN?

Of the 3 models currently active on FUN, PWERM is the most bullish at $37.03 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.70. CirclFi's published fair value for FUN is the median of that range, $3.93, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 900% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FUN a value trap in 2026?

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) has a median fair value of $3.93 — 75.4% below the current price of $15.96 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FUN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FUN valuation

Market data for FUN as of ; valuations recomputed .