Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Fair Value 2026

FUN · Services-Amusement & Recreation Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) trades at $18.92, approximately 5% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.01. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FUN
Price
$18.92
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +52.0% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.92)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$20.01 +5.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$28.75 +52.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$22.25 +17.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$25.44 +34.5%

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What Is Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Six Flags Entertainment Corpora's intrinsic value is estimated at $23.57, suggesting a +24.6% average upside from the current price of $18.92. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $40.41 (+113.6%), versus Markov DDM at $7.58 (-60.0%). This +173.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About FUN?

11 of 13 models are currently active for FUN. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FUN's intrinsic value at $20.01, implying +5.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FUN Rank in Services-Amusement & Recreation Services?

Among 20 Services-Amusement & Recreation Services stocks, FUN ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

Six Flags Entertainment Corpora operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FUN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FUN a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Six Flags Entertainment Corpora. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Six Flags Entertainment Corpora's fundamental quality profile registers 6.2/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +173.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FUN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FUN's 11 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Six Flags Entertainment Corpora Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Amusement & Recreation Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Amusement & Recreation Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: WMG · RSVR · TKO · LYV · LUCK

Frequently Asked Questions About Six Flags Entertainment Corpora

What is Six Flags Entertainment Corpora's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $20.01. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FUN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.92, 8 of 11 active models suggest FUN may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Six Flags Entertainment Corpora's business model in Services-Amusement & Recreation Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for FUN?

Six Flags Entertainment Corpora's QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FUN?

CirclFi analyzes FUN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FUN a value trap in 2026?

Six Flags Entertainment Corpora's Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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