What Is Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (FCX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $38.60, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $59.96. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-35.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $135.72 (+126.4%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.67 (-98.9%). This +225.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About FCX?
13 of 13 models are currently active for FCX. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FCX's intrinsic value at $21.65, implying -63.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FCX Rank in Metal Mining?
Among 38 Metal Mining stocks, FCX ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places FCX in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Metal Mining Stocks →
Within the Metal Mining space, Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. competes in an environment where organic revenue growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is FCX a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for FCX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.3/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +225.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FCX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FCX's 13 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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