What Is Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $11.73, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $9.67. While the average implied return is +21.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +333.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $34.32 (+254.9%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $2.03 (-79.0%). This +333.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AVAH?
11 of 13 models are currently active for AVAH. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AVAH's intrinsic value at $8.29, implying -14.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AVAH Rank in Services-Home Health Care Services?
Among 5 Services-Home Health Care Services stocks, AVAH ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is AVAH a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVAH a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc earns a quality score of 7.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +333.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AVAH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AVAH's 11 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad