Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Fair Value 2026

GFI · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Gold Fields Limited (GFI) trades at $45.96, versus a $105.99 median fair value across its 2 active models — 130.6% above the current price. QOC: 2.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GFI
Price
$45.96
Quality Score
2.9/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +153.8% upside with 20% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Gold Fields Limited (GFI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $105.99, 130.6% above the current price of $45.96. Estimates range from $95.33 to $116.66. GFI scores 2.9/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GFI’s +130.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Gold sector median is -29.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Gold Fields Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GFI?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
$116.66 +153.8%
Relative · Low Conviction
$95.33 +107.4%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gold Fields Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $105.99. At a current market price of $45.96, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +130.6%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +153.8% (fair value: $116.66), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at +107.4% ($95.33). The spread between these extremes — +46.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GFI?

2 of 13 models are currently active for GFI. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for GFI is $105.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GFI Rank in Gold?

Among 58 Gold stocks, GFI ranks #46 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

Gold Fields Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GFI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GFI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Gold Fields Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gold Fields Limited scores 2.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +46.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GFI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GFI's 2 active models, average confidence is 17%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gold Fields Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AGI · FNV · IAG · PAAS · GAU · AEM · NEM · OGC · PZG · FSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GFI?

7 companies across all industries closest to GFI’s Quality of Company score of 2.9/10.

Read investment analysis: GIL · PETZ · PERI · CLOW · AIXI · SVA · NVDA

Where Does GFI Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

GFI is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Gold Fields Limited’s Valuation?

What is Gold Fields Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Gold Fields Limited (GFI)'s intrinsic value at $105.99 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $95.33 to $116.66. The Quality of Company score is 2.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GFI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.96, 2 of 2 active models suggest GFI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $105.99, 130.6% above the current price of $45.96 — a consensus view that GFI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gold Fields Limited's business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.9 mean for GFI?

Gold Fields Limited's QOC of 2.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GFI?

CirclFi analyzes GFI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GFI a value trap in 2026?

Gold Fields Limited's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Gold Fields Limited (GFI) has a median fair value of $105.99 — 130.6% above the current price of $45.96 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GFI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GFI valuation
  • Financial statements: Gold Fields Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001172724) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GFI as of ; valuations recomputed .