Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) Fair Value 2026

COKE · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) trades at $194.60, versus a $174.20 median fair value across its 9 active models — 10.5% below the current price. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $299.91.

Key Facts

Ticker
COKE
Price
$194.60
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +54.1% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $174.20, 10.5% below the current price of $194.60. Estimates range from $45.81 to $299.91. COKE scores 9.1/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. COKE’s -10.5% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give COKE?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($194.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $299.91 +54.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $100.92 -48.1%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $174.20 -10.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.81 -76.5%
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What Is COKE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $45.81 to $299.91

CirclFi's 9 active models place Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) between $45.81 and $299.91 per share, a spread of 146% of the median. The median of that range — $174.20 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for COKE, against a current price of $194.60.

Low · EROICHigh · Bayesian DCF
$45.81median $174.20$299.91
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$45.81
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$299.91
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for COKE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on COKE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $174.20. Trading at $194.60, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -10.5%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $299.91 (+54.1%), versus EROIC at $45.81 (-76.5%). This +130.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About COKE?

9 of 13 models are currently active for COKE. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for COKE is $174.20 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $299.91 on its own, implying +54.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does COKE Rank in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic?

Among 20 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, COKE ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places COKE in the top tier.

The Beverages - Non-Alcoholic sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc., metrics like brand equity index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is COKE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns COKE a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. scores 9.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every COKE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across COKE's 9 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks with 13-model coverage

CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCQOC 9.1KOThe Coca-Cola CompanyQOC 8.9SUJASuja Life, Inc.QOC 3.4KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.8BNKKBonk, Inc.QOC 4.9CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8MNSTMonster Beverage CorporationQOC 8.7MOJOEQUATOR Beverage CompanyQOC 7.2BRFHBarfresh Food Group, Inc.QOC 5.4

Read investment analysis: CCEP · KO · SUJA · KOF · BNKK · CELH · MNST · MOJO · BRFH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to COKE?

7 companies across all industries closest to COKE’s Quality of Company score of 9.1/10.

PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.QOC 9.1ESNTEssent Group Ltd.QOC 9.1GLREGreenlight Capital Re, Ltd.QOC 9.1GRMNGarmin Ltd.QOC 9.1OTEXOpen Text CorporationQOC 9.1VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedQOC 9.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PEBO · ESNT · GLRE · GRMN · OTEX · VRTX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE)'s intrinsic value at $174.20 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $45.81 to $299.91. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $299.91 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is COKE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $194.60, 4 of 9 active models suggest COKE may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $174.20, 10.5% below the current price of $194.60 — a consensus view that COKE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.'s business model in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for COKE?

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.'s QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on COKE?

CirclFi analyzes COKE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on COKE?

Of the 9 models currently active on COKE, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $299.91 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $45.81. CirclFi's published fair value for COKE is the median of that range, $174.20, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 146% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is COKE a value trap in 2026?

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) has a median fair value of $174.20 — 10.5% below the current price of $194.60 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/COKE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this COKE valuation
  • Financial statements: Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000317540) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for COKE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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