Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) Fair Value 2026

CCEP · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) trades at $107.32, versus a $125.99 median fair value across its 11 active models — 17.4% above the current price. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $183.20.

Key Facts

Ticker
CCEP
Price
$107.32
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +70.7% upside with 65% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $125.99, 17.4% above the current price of $107.32. Estimates range from $46.73 to $196.94. CCEP scores 9.1/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CCEP’s +17.4% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CCEP?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($107.32)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $183.20 +70.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $77.74 -27.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $125.99 +17.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $159.11 +48.3%
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What Is CCEP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $46.73 to $196.94

CirclFi's 11 active models place Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) between $46.73 and $196.94 per share, a spread of 119% of the median. The median of that range — $125.99 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CCEP, against a current price of $107.32.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$46.73median $125.99$196.94
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$46.73
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$196.94
Model agreement8 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CCEP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CCEP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $125.99. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $107.32 (implied upside of +17.4%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 11 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +83.5% (fair value: $196.94), while EROIC is the most conservative at -56.5% ($46.73). The spread between these extremes — +140.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CCEP?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CCEP. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CCEP is $125.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $183.20 on its own, implying +70.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CCEP Rank in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic?

Among 20 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, CCEP ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places CCEP in the top tier.

As a retail business, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC operates in a sector where gross margin expansion is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CCEP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CCEP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CCEP a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC's fundamental quality profile registers 9.1/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +140.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CCEP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CCEP's 11 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks with 13-model coverage

SUJASuja Life, Inc.QOC 3.4COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.QOC 9.1BNKKBonk, Inc.QOC 4.9KOThe Coca-Cola CompanyQOC 8.9REEDReed's, Inc.QOC 5.2KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.8COCOThe Vita Coco Company, Inc.QOC 8.8PEPPepsiCo, Inc.QOC 8.1WTERThe Alkaline Water Company Inc.QOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: SUJA · COKE · BNKK · KO · REED · KOF · COCO · PEP · WTER

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CCEP?

7 companies across all industries closest to CCEP’s Quality of Company score of 9.1/10.

AAgilent Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.QOC 9.1TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.QOC 9.1GLWCorning IncorporatedQOC 9.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: A · MSI · TPL · AIT · TXRH · GLW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC’s Valuation?

What is Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP)'s intrinsic value at $125.99 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $46.73 to $196.94. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $183.20 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CCEP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $107.32, 8 of 11 active models suggest CCEP may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $125.99, 17.4% above the current price of $107.32 — a consensus view that CCEP is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC's business model in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for CCEP?

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC's QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CCEP?

CirclFi analyzes CCEP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CCEP?

Of the 11 models currently active on CCEP, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $196.94 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $46.73. CirclFi's published fair value for CCEP is the median of that range, $125.99, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 119% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CCEP a value trap in 2026?

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) has a median fair value of $125.99 — 17.4% above the current price of $107.32 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CCEP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CCEP valuation
  • Financial statements: Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001650107) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CCEP as of ; valuations recomputed .

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