What Is National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on National Beverage Corp. at its current price of $31.13. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $27.00 (-13.3% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $47.04 (+51.1%), versus Dynamic NAV at $5.01 (-83.9%). This +135.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About FIZZ?
12 of 13 models are currently active for FIZZ. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FIZZ's intrinsic value at $29.93, implying -3.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FIZZ Rank in Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters?
Among 9 Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters stocks, FIZZ ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places FIZZ in the top tier.
As a power and energy company, National Beverage Corp. operates in a sector where rate base growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FIZZ should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is FIZZ a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FIZZ a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for National Beverage Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, National Beverage Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +135.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FIZZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FIZZ's 12 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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