What Is The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Vita Coco Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $26.03. Trading at its current price of $74.64, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 13 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -65.1%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -6.3% (fair value: $69.90), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -93.4% ($4.89). The spread between these extremes — +87.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About COCO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for COCO. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates COCO's intrinsic value at $9.99, implying -86.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does COCO Rank in Beverages?
Among 17 Beverages stocks, COCO ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places COCO in the top tier.
The Vita Coco Company, Inc.'s positioning within the Beverages segment means that brand equity index plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including geographic expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is COCO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns COCO a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for The Vita Coco Company, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, The Vita Coco Company, Inc. earns a quality score of 10.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +87.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every COCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across COCO's 13 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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