Reed's, Inc. (REED) Fair Value 2026

REED · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (35/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Reed's, Inc. (REED) trades at $0.98, versus a $0.88 median fair value across its 2 active models — 9.7% below the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 35/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
REED
Price
$0.98
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
35/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +2.2% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Reed's, Inc. (REED) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Reed's, Inc. (REED) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.88, within 9.7% of the current price of $0.98. Estimates range from $0.76 to $1.00. REED scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 35/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. REED’s -9.7% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Reed's, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give REED?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
$0.76 -21.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$1.00 +2.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Reed's, Inc. (REED) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Reed's, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $0.88, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $0.98. While the median implied return is -9.7%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +23.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates.

What Do the Models Say About REED?

2 of 13 models are currently active for REED. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for REED is $0.88 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does REED Rank in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic?

Among 20 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, REED ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Beverages - Non-Alcoholic sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For Reed's, Inc., metrics like same-store sales growth (comps) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is REED a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns REED a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Reed's, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Reed's, Inc. scores 5.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

Models cluster within a tight range (+23.7% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every REED valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across REED's 2 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Reed's, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BRFH · BNKK · WTER · SUJA · JSDA · CCEP · KO · FIZZ · ZVIA · COKE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to REED?

7 companies across all industries closest to REED’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

Read investment analysis: IDAI · SABS · ASTC · CATX · TUSK · TOMZ · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Reed's, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Reed's, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Reed's, Inc. (REED)'s intrinsic value at $0.88 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.76 to $1.00. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is REED overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.98, 1 of 2 active models suggest REED may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.88, within 9.7% of the current price of $0.98 — a consensus view that REED is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Reed's, Inc.'s business model in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for REED?

Reed's, Inc.'s QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on REED?

CirclFi analyzes REED with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is REED a value trap in 2026?

Reed's, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 35/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Reed's, Inc. (REED) has a median fair value of $0.88 — within 9.7% of the current price of $0.98 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/REED/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this REED valuation
  • Financial statements: Reed's, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001140215) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for REED as of ; valuations recomputed .