Reed's, Inc. (REED) Fair Value 2026

REED · Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Reed's, Inc. (REED) trades at $1.07, approximately 51% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.71. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
REED
Price
$1.07
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +98.7% upside with 22% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.71 -33.9%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$1.24 +15.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.51 +40.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$2.13 +98.7%

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What Is Reed's, Inc. (REED) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Reed's, Inc. at $1.07. With an estimated intrinsic value of $2.07 and 7 of 10 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +93.3%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $4.78 (+347.2%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.71 (-33.9%). This +381.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Reed's, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About REED?

10 of 13 models are currently active for REED. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates REED's intrinsic value at $0.71, implying -33.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does REED Rank in Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters?

Among 9 Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters stocks, REED ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters sector introduces analytical considerations specific to utility businesses. For Reed's, Inc., metrics like rate base growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is REED a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns REED a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Reed's, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Reed's, Inc. scores 5.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +381.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every REED valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across REED's 10 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Reed's, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: COKE · MNST · FIZZ · CELH · CCEP

Frequently Asked Questions About Reed's, Inc.

What is Reed's, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Reed's, Inc. (REED) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.71. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is REED overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.07, 7 of 10 active models suggest REED may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Reed's, Inc.'s business model in Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for REED?

Reed's, Inc.'s QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on REED?

CirclFi analyzes REED with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is REED a value trap in 2026?

Reed's, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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