What Is Pepsico, Inc. (PEP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pepsico, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $94.71, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $138.49. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-31.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +11.7% (fair value: $154.73), while EROIC is the most conservative at -75.5% ($33.98). The spread between these extremes — +87.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About PEP?
12 of 13 models are currently active for PEP. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PEP's intrinsic value at $76.51, implying -44.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does PEP Rank in Beverages?
Among 17 Beverages stocks, PEP ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
Within the Beverages space, Pepsico, Inc. competes in an environment where customer lifetime value (CLV) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is PEP a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PEP. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Pepsico, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Pepsico, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +87.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every PEP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across PEP's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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